Summary

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez warned that Trump’s mass deportation policy could lead to labor shortages and higher grocery prices.

Experts say agriculture, construction, and healthcare will be hardest hit, with farm output losses estimated between $30 and $60 billion.

Deportations could cost the U.S. economy up to $88 billion annually.

AOC argued that immigrant labor is vital to economic stability, urging Congress to pursue immigration reform.

  • Veedem@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    I know she’s been villainized by the right, but I feel like, at this point, she needs to be elevated to key leadership of the party. She’s the only one who seems to be able to speak to specifics. I just listened to Jeffries on Jon Stewart’s podcast and it was all of the same old generalities.

    • Pogogunner@sopuli.xyz
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      2 months ago

      I can’t speak to every politician, but as a class, they seem to be elites that are disconnected from the average American.

      AOC, having been a normal person, is able to bring the message that gets through to people without having it filtered through some sort of communication agency.

      • Branch_Ranch@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Would be a great time for bernie and AOC to make strides to start a new party, or other tactics to force dems to move left.

        • SabinStargem@lemmings.world
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          2 months ago

          I hope they pass a bill to set age and term limits, alongside with voting reforms. Our political system was built for a mere 13 colonies that shared a coastline, not a continental civilization without telecommunication.

          • prole
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            2 months ago

            Term limits bring their own set of issues. I would do some more research on the subject before championing them.

            • SabinStargem@lemmings.world
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              2 months ago

              I think we now have real-world examples of what being without limits can bring us. For example, a supreme justice holds their role until death or abdication. The vast bulk of the SC court cannot relate to “young” people. This is problematic, seeing how many of them were born before things like DEI, foreign content like anime, or the Internet were common. Plus, the justices tend to be confirmed by old people, which only reinforces the issue.

              If there is an overhaul when it comes to SCs in particular, I think the following would be good:

              1: Trash the current SC system.

              2: Each state can elect a single Supreme Justice to represent them. This Justice is elected through a popular vote. SCs have a term limit of ten years, and an age range of 30-70. They may be impeached by their state through a popular ballot.

              3: The justices have to have lived in their state for at least 10 years, and continue living there for the rest of their term.

              4: Digital means for justices to meet should be implemented. (For congress as well), and live feeds of their discussion process for all to see. We should be allowed to see and record how the sausage of our laws is made.

              5: The assets, wealth, and social media of a Justice should be an open record. We don’t want people like Clarance Thomas to be allowed to grift, especially not when the lives of so many people can be impacted.

              By having each state having ownership of a single SC, we will have about 50 justices. This is good for having a wide variety of backgrounds and interests to be represented during judicial discussions, along with insulating against any one faction from pushing forward candidates.

              Traditionally, we required our justices to be well versed in law and whatnot…but honestly, after the shitshow that is our current Supreme Court, it is clear that motivation trumps law and precedent. That Is why I suggest that justices be determined through a popular vote. If a justice is going to be motivated, it should be driven by the fact that they were chosen by the people of their state, not an political faction or leader.

              • chknbwl@lemmy.world
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                2 months ago

                I concur, US federal supreme court judges are appointed solely by the President. This makes these positions highly political and less about merit. Furthermore, fed circuit judges are appointed by fed SC judges, so the whole federal judicial system is just political tug-o’-war.

                Cherry on top is a lot of civil judges, typically circuit-level as well, run unopposed in local elections. Their tenure tends to keep red-state law red and vice-versa. So much for US America being our self-proclaimed “Marketplace of Ideas”.

                I agree with revolutionizing our current federal judicial system. It is severely outdated and regularly exploited.

        • SacredHeartAttack@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          Half the population is below average intelligence. As a politician you have to speak in a way that is both to the point and emotionally charging to get your point across as simply as possible. It’s the best way to actually reach the most people. You also have to repeat yourself ad nauseam. It’s just a pitfall of the job. Simultaneously, they have to treat people like idiots and not treat people like idiots.

          It also works. Remember all those signs in yards this past election cycle that said “Trump: lower taxes, Harris: higher taxes” and “Trump: good for America, Harris: bad for America”? They were wrong, and simple and they worked.

            • SacredHeartAttack@lemmy.world
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              2 months ago

              So what’s your issue? What does “not speak like an elite” even mean? Politicians speak like politicians and they do so for reasons I’ve already outlined. She isn’t talking down to you, she’s empathizing with you. What do you want her to say? You want her to talk like the room is filled with post-doctorates? How does that help a chronically under-educated populace who literally can’t afford get a good education, let alone pay attention to anything of substance after sifting through our hellscape of a media?

              She isn’t Trump, of course. I don’t think anyone in Lemmy is asking for her to be. My point was that repeating yourself and speaking simply literally just won an election. “Me, good. Other guy, bad” as a message, works. Bernie has been repeating himself for longer than I’ve been alive. He’s been right about everything he’s ever said in the simplest of terms. Why do you think he keeps doing it? Because it’s still true, and people still need to hear that message.

                • SacredHeartAttack@lemmy.world
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                  2 months ago

                  I haven’t downvoted a single one of your comments. I’m asking questions I wanted answers to. Sorry people don’t like what you’re saying, but I’m trying to have a conversation.

        • theneverfox@pawb.social
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          2 months ago

          That’s the game, she’s just doing her best to play it. Listen to her more casual interviews if you want a normal person, she gets seconds of the average person’s attention at a time

            • moody@lemmings.world
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              2 months ago

              It’s not that it’s an unpopular take, it’s that you’re not going to get that from mainstream media. They only want snippets and blurbs to present to the people, so if you’re not able to articulate your point in a short sound bite, you don’t get to send your message at all.

                • moody@lemmings.world
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                  2 months ago

                  I won’t disagree with that, but there are still lots of people who consume mainstream media. A lot of them also think that their choice of media isn’t mainstream, only other media.

        • Gerudo@lemm.ee
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          2 months ago

          She stands by what she says though. It may sound familiar, because it’s the same shit all the time. She doesn’t take lobby money, she doesn’t take pac money and she doesnt take corpo money. Her donations are working class citizens that fuel her campaigns. If you want her to speak simple language, go watch her John Stewart interview. It’s as plain and “common folk” speak as you can get.

    • prole
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      2 months ago

      I fear for her safety, to be honest…

    • The Quuuuuill@slrpnk.net
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      2 months ago

      that’s exactly why the establishment limits her movements. she’s a threat to schumer and pelosi’s stranglehold on the money pipelines. what schumer and pelosi either don’t realize, or don’t care about, is they’re who the ultraradical right want dead first. they showed us as much on january 6th, 2021

    • A_Union_of_Kobolds@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Given how clearly she’s stood up since day 1 here, I wouldn’t be surprised if she’s the first target for Trump’s Window-Pushing Squad

      Sooner or later, the idiot is gonna take the biggest chapter from Putin’s book.

    • Kyrgizion@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      She will never be allowed anywhere close to real power for the same reason they’ve kept Bernie from power for decades.

    • mwproductions@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      I just listened to Jeffries on Jon Stewart’s podcast and it was all of the same old generalities.

      Especially after Stewart’s recent interview with her.

    • webhead@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Seriously. They all said they felt better than before but the dude barely said anything worthwhile. So disappointing it’s the exact same hand wringing bullshit where they say “we just need to get the message out” instead of actually doing shit differently. Jon really did try to get more out of him but he stayed on message like 80% of the time like a true politician.

  • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Farms are just going to take it on the chin. They’re losing their labor with the mass deportations and they’re losing a hilariously large buyer of food with USAID being shut down.

    So who’s ready for the new price on food?

    • prole
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      2 months ago

      And they’ll blame Democrats. And the Democratic Party won’t combat the misinformation because they suck at messaging.

      • TimmyDeanSausage @lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        IMHO, Democrats have gotten much better with their messaging over the past decade. People just don’t pay attention because diligently solving problems with substantial plans that take years to show effects isn’t sexy or exciting.

        I stay pretty keyed in to what’s going on in congress, but I have to put effort into that. It seems like all the algorithms constantly want to shift my content to paying attention to all the crazy shit the GOP is up to and I’m constantly catching and stopping myself from getting sucked into rage porn.

        • prole
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          2 months ago

          People just don’t pay attention because diligently solving problems with substantial plans that take years to show effects isn’t sexy or exciting.

          Yeah maybe… But they’re also so bad at even just pointing out the horrible shit Republicans are constantly doing.

          • TimmyDeanSausage @lemmy.world
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            2 months ago

            You’re not looking. “Now This!” and Cspan are two great YouTube channels for democratic media coverage. Dems are constantly calling Republicans out on stuff. Cspan is extra cool because they post full, unedited hearings so you get to see dems actually try to govern while the alt-righters behave like children, yell, and posture for their 30 second media clips, then sit back down and stare at their phone until it’s time to talk again.

        • WagyuSneakers@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          Saying they’re good at messaging and then saying people don’t paying attention enough to see it is an oxymoron. If they were good at messaging you wouldn’t have to pay attention to see it.

          • TimmyDeanSausage @lemmy.world
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            2 months ago

            I disagree. They’re not responsible for the lack of media coverage. If all you watch is legacy media, you’re not going to see democratic messaging.

            • WagyuSneakers@lemmy.world
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              2 months ago

              If there are voters that are only watching legacy media then any approach that doesn’t include legacy media is nothing short of negligent.

              • TimmyDeanSausage @lemmy.world
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                2 months ago

                How do you propose democratic politicians make legacy media cover their messaging? Can you explain how politicians having no control over legacy media companies is negligence? I’m not following the logic on that one…

                • WagyuSneakers@lemmy.world
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                  2 months ago

                  If it’s my job to make sure the Dam keeps working and the Dam breaks, I’m responsible. I don’t get to say “Well I didn’t know about the cracks I’m only a manager.”. As a professional you can’t just dismiss responsibility. You have to be proficient. If I hire someone who claims to be an expert, and they break things, they can be sued.

                  It’s the Democrats job to get elected. They will need to make sure their message makes it to average Americans. Since they failed to do this, they’ve failed to do their job. They’re incompetent and guilty of gross negligence.

                  Your “Best Effort” is meaningless in the real world. Results speak for themselves and the Dems are losers.

      • Nalivai@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        They are OK at messaging, it’s just for people only consume conservative propaganda, because dems has to be bounded by truth, and cons can say whatever they want, and truth is just isn’t as exciting

      • zildjiandrummer1@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        The Democratic party in the US is so wimpy. The one thing I respect of Republicans is that they fight for what they want. Often it’s dirty, bad-faith, bottom-dwelling (and sometimes straight up illegal) behavior, but it gets results in a country this dumb and gullible. Democrats need to learn to stop compromising on things they care about.

      • gamer@lemm.ee
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        2 months ago

        Food Prices SKYROCKET After Biden-Obama DEI Pricing Scam For Transgender Immigrants

    • dx1@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Reminder, losing a large purchasing segment decreases demand, which lowers prices until the market adjusts. I.e., it frees up agricultural output that they have to sell, which they’ll lower prices to make sell to other buyers (domestically or internationally).

      • megopie
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        2 months ago

        So the issue is, that those are two different categories. USAID tends to be food stuff that the US massively over produces, dairy, corn, soy, ect. These are all categories that are highly automated and don’t require much labor (relative to other categories)

        The places where the most migrant labor is utilized are things like fruits, vegetables, and meat processing. stuff that can’t be mechanized to the same degree as corn or milk. Stuff that doesn’t tend to get exported as part of USAID because it is in demand in the US.

        • dx1@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          True, well, I mean, take the effects I described and apply them to the respective agricultural sectors. We will very likely see price increases in fresh produce and some price decrease in corn, soy, wheat, dairy, etc. (I say “some” because the actual global demand for food hasn’t decreased, rather, the purchasing power has been decreased because some subsidization has been lost due to USAID absence).

          • megopie
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            2 months ago

            So, thing is USDA guarantees a minimum price for stuff like corn and dairy, paying the difference between the actual market price and the minimum price to farmers. So the market price for them will drop but production won’t, and chances are, most of the stuff will end up getting thrown out or used in utterly absurd way. Closing USAID just removes a potential useful outlet for the surplus. Rather than corn getting used for subsidizing food costs in other countries, it’ll be up getting used to make potting soil, gasoline and dry wall. Not because it makes economic sense to do so, but because the government will pay the economic losses that are inherent in such wasteful use cases.

            • dx1@lemmy.world
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              Right, so up until the point the USDA PLC programs get exhausted (afaict ~$25B/yr), they compensate for the difference between the price floor (not sure if we’re above or below that now) and market price. But that’s a subsidy to the farmers, not an effect on the market price - the expense comes to taxpayers. And sometimes, they scoop up surplus through CCC, then remarket it elsewhere, an indirect/artificial market mechanism, which can include exports.

      • Xanza@lemm.ee
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        2 months ago

        which lowers prices until the market adjusts.

        It depends on the market. If producing less food with the same resources costs more, prices will rise–especially on large commercial farms, which dominate the U.S. agricultural sector.

        For example, a farm designed to grow 10,000 acres of beans can’t simply reduce production to 5,000 acres due to lower demand and expect prices to drop. The unused 5,000 acres still incur costs, and farmers won’t absorb that loss–they’ll pass it on as higher prices.

        Additionally, some grocery chains buy produce through futures contracts. If these chains sell their futures for a profit, they secure produce at a bargain, cutting into farming profits. This discourages farmers from offering futures in subsequent seasons, forcing grocers to buy bulk products at higher prices instead of securing cheaper futures.

        • dx1@lemmy.world
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          It depends on the market. If producing less food with the same resources costs more, prices will rise–especially on large commercial farms, which dominate the U.S. agricultural sector.

          The part you quoted from what I said was in reference to an agricultural buyer being lost. There are other reasons to anticipate the costs of inputs increasing, but I’m going through analyzing factor by factor (descending analysis) and all of a sudden we’re jumping back up to the top to talk about something else.

          Re: grocery chains (not USAID) and futures contracts - not sure how this ties in either, we’re talking about USAID, which AFAIK does procurement through a bidding process for direct purchases, not via futures.

      • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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        The distributors will lower prices. Farmers will get paid pennies for what would be dollars. Farmers don’t sell their product directly. They get screwed before the consumer gets screwed. In this kind of a cycle prices drop in the short term, but as farmers can’t afford to plant as much going forward, there’s a supply crunch next season. The government used to do a lot to manage this cycle and smooth it out, by literally buying product.

        No big deal in the long term though right? Well except we don’t have a competitive distributor or grocery market anymore. So when that crunch hits those prices are going up and they’re going to stay up. For reference check the recent greedflation that happened.

        Worse there is a real risk of a dust bowl effect. Farmers who are strapped for cash don’t want to spend money setting their fields up to fallow properly. So the summer hits and the crops that are planted get buried in all that dust. Making the supply crunch even worse.

        Then in a normal situation we’d still have the global supply chain to fall back on. But there’s a very good chance that food is going to have tariffs on it.

        Farming isn’t like making a widget in a factory.

        • prole
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          2 months ago

          I know I’ve started buying some MREs…

          • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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            2 months ago

            It’ll take a minute to blow up into a full on crisis though. And please tell me you mean dehydrated food. MREs are … Uh… Not great.

        • dx1@lemmy.world
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          I’m not sure what your main point is here. I was responding to you grouping together a labor shortage and a demand shock as - from what it sounded like - a reason to expect high prices. But demand shocks lower prices on the consumer side of food production, as opposed to raising them, because the food at that point exists, and whoever has it needs to sell it, more desperately than they were before.

          • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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            My main point is this is well beyond the supply/demand chart you get in Econ 101. That more applies to distributors and grocers than it does to farmers. In most places the farmers aren’t in control of the price. The distributors are. This is how you get things like Dairy Farmers disposing of literal tons of milk. It was more expensive to send it than they would have been paid for it. In other words the price dropped so low it wasn’t worth selling it.

            Of course that has knock on effects. That farm doesn’t magically get more money next year so their operations are constrained. Grain is worse than Dairy because it can be siloed for literal years. That means the glut will take years to resolve. Years with low or no income for grain farmers.

            Are you seeing the problem yet?

            • dx1@lemmy.world
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              No, I’m still not really sure what you’re trying to say. Your original post was about the price to consumers.

              And as for the relationship between farmers and distributors, that really depends on the specifics of the purchasing agreements they enter into.

              • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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                Dude I’m not going to start repeating myself. You have the chain of events that causes higher consumer prices, you just don’t want to admit it’s likely unless the government steps in to prevent it.

                • dx1@lemmy.world
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                  If that’s what you were saying re: USAID cancellation eventually raising food prices, you have quite a few leaps of logic in there.

  • prole
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    2 months ago

    Surely they mean shocked by how affordable eggs are now, right??

    • Zink@programming.dev
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      Sure, but it’s more in the “no ethical consumption under capitalism” kind of way rather than anything specific about the exploitation of the undocumented migrants. Exploitation goes into almost everything around us, and it’s something we have to deal with and work to improve unless we want to completely disconnect from modern society.

      Just scanning the room around me, I wonder what the full labor history looks like in the value chain that produced my TV, the phone in my hand, my computer parts, the shirt on my back, AND the food in my kitchen.

      If some of the farm labor that went into my food was from an undocumented immigrant that really wants to stay in this country and keep his or her job, I am not happy about the set of circumstances, but I also don’t want to rip that person out of their community and send them somewhere they do not want to go.

    • NeptuneOrbit@lemmy.world
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      We tried to resolve this with legislation and the right wing crazies killed it each time. It’s not like the average Democratic voter wants an undocumented underclass. The business interests do. And the GOP leadership gets to fund raise on the caravans.

      Most Americans want a better life for these people. Step one isn’t to spend a trillion dollars to deport them all.

    • HurlingDurling@lemm.ee
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      2 months ago

      Absolutely! But at the same time, it highlights the income inequality the majority of Americans are experiencing.

    • t_chalco@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Leadership, yes. I would argue it is intentional. Citizens… well, clearly not some half of the electorate.

    • nutsack@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      for sure. but maybe the losses would be less if they rolled out a 12 month plan to get papers for everyone instead?

  • OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee
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    2 months ago

    Tariffs too. It’s just a bit of “short term pain”…meaning, for about 4 years until someone comes in and reverses the horrible policies.

    • MrVilliam@lemm.ee
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      2 months ago

      The consequences of trump will have residual effects. The damage cannot be undone in one fell swoop. The country is a big boat and it takes a long fucking time to change directions even if you immediately start steering it the other way.

      Then there’s the whole topic of friends and allies wondering if we can be trusted in the long term. Why make deals with us if we’re gonna just elect a stupid asshole who will reneg on anything and everything that isn’t immediately beneficial to that specific person? A lot of countries likely considered drastic changes to policy with us, but decided to hold off until the 2020 election, and then breathed a sigh of relief when we didn’t reelect the dipshit. Fast forward four short years and see that we went back to the dipshit despite all obvious, available information saying that only a fucking moron who is trying to summon the end of the world would allow such a thing; would you trust a country that elected trump, took a break from him, and then elected him back in again? This really isn’t about lackluster democrats and their performance in elections; would you want to make long term plans with a person who was so chaotic? Denmark won’t forget us openly considering taking Greenland by force. Panama won’t forget us talking about taking the canal. Canada won’t forget us talking about annexing them. The EU won’t forget the tariffs. Mexico won’t forget the deportations. We’re alienating ourselves, burning through all of our political capital like trump burns through every business venture. He will fuck every relationship up and the dollar will be fucking worthless as a result if he doesn’t just fucking stop.

      I legitimately have zero clue what the country and the world in general look like four years from now, but I can tell you that it will be bad and the bleeding will take years to stop and decades to heal. Even if this stopped today, Pandora’s box is open. If trump died on the toilet today, vance would continue what’s happening.

      The entire line of succession isn’t even the problem. The experiment is over. Oligarchs and their pet autocrat run everything and they’re not interested in what you have to say about it. If they decide to just suspend all elections and appoint all elected offices and consolidate all power to the executive, what can really be done to stop it? It would take a revolution, but the bastard cops have fucking tanks with which to kill us all. No other country will come to help us because our military is far more advanced than all others and we’re geographically very easy to defend. Our own country has us by the balls and the twisting is just getting started.

      I wish I could be so optimistic as to believe that things could be okay in four years. A lot of people will be deported and/or killed before then, so even if it did end up being okay for you or me, that’s still gonna be too late for them.

    • djsoren19
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      2 months ago

      “If” someone reverses those policies. There are still policies created by Trump from 2016 that have not been reversed.

  • kibiz0r@midwest.social
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    2 months ago

    Private prisons looking at the 13th amendment:

    “I wouldn’t say deported… More like, under new management.”

  • Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works
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    2 months ago

    I am a little shocked that healthcare is in the top 3. How many undocumented nurses are there? How do they obtain licensure? Or is this all just support staff?

    • Crashumbc@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Keep in mind, the current gov isn’t just interested in “illegal” immigrants, but any non white people they can figure out a way to deport.

      Many nurses are here on work visas.

    • Carl@lemm.ee
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      2 months ago

      According to this document from 2021, most of them are “assistants” and “aides” of various types, although it seems there are a few thousand registered nurses and other licensed healthcare providers and technicians. Maybe they get licensed on a visa and then overstay the visa?

  • HappySkullsplitter@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Stop giving Trump a heads up on his mistakes

    Can’t get rid of him if we keep preventing his fuck ups for him

    Same thing happened his whole first term

    Pick an obvious huge blunder of his that isn’t going to cause global catastrophe for generations to come and just let it happen

    Don’t help it happen, just silently let it happen.

    The courts, congress, secret service, none of it will matter if 150+ million people rush the capital to dispose of this goon

    • pivot_root@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Stop giving Trump a heads up on his mistakes

      Can’t get rid of him if we keep preventing his fuck ups for him

      I think you’re overestimating how much he listens to or cares for what the public thinks. He surrounds himself with yes-men and people beaten into submission. As long as they’re going to keep telling him that his policies are making America great, he’ll keep doing both whatever dumb shit he thinks of and executing the plans Putin and the Project 2025 authors give him.

      • HappySkullsplitter@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Most of these idea aren’t even Trump’s, they come from deranged and corrupt special interest groups

        Trump also has a team that manages his image. Mostly because this is what Trump really cares about the most, vanity.

        If these two come into conflict, the image team will always win.

        Whatever makes Trump look good, that’s all he cares about.

        Letting him fuck up will force him into damage control and he will never admit being wrong which will only serve to dig himself a deeper hole

  • jagged_circle@feddit.nl
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    2 months ago

    Will Americans learn that they dont need to buy meat, and it’ll be lighter on their pocket book and on the climate?

    • lori@lemmy.zip
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      2 months ago

      You do realize that the foods we are going to have a crisis over includes literally all the stuff you eat instead of meat too right

    • Rubanski@lemm.ee
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      2 months ago

      I am no vegetarian but I rarely buy meat, because I can make a succulent meal without meat. I enjoy the occasional BBQ but cooking with tofu and other protein replacements is just so much cheaper and healthier than buying shitty meats on the regular. Just enjoy the occasional, high quality meat

  • Pieisawesome@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    2 months ago

    I like AOC, but I don’t understand why she just says stuff and doesn’t do anything.

    She could introduce new legislation everyday, be an obstructionist to the neonazi republican agenda.

    Get them on the record voting no to the simple things. Will this stuff pass? No, but that’s not the point.

    Do something, don’t just say sound bites

    • douz0a0bouz@midwest.social
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      2 months ago

      Because to even reach the house floor those bills would have to go through Republican controlled comities. That wouldn’t even gum up the works, they would simply be ignored. So she focuses her efforts on education people on what is really going on, instead of what the corpo news outlets are spewing.

    • Hildegarde
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      2 months ago

      Anyone in the federal legislature can introduce legislation that dies in committee. How exactly would that help? Its not effective obstructionism for a small committee to just ignore your bills every time. Most bills never even get a vote.

      You are not proposing an effective strategy.