There is a deepening sense of fear as population loss accelerates in rural America. The decline of small-town life is expected to be a looming topic in the presidential election.

America’s rural population began contracting about a decade ago, according to statistics drawn from the U.S. Census Bureau.

A whopping 81 percent of rural counties had more deaths than births between 2019 and 2023, according to an analysis by a University of New Hampshire demographer. Experts who study the phenomena say the shrinking baby boomer population and younger residents having smaller families and moving elsewhere for jobs are fueling the trend.

According to a recent Agriculture Department estimate, the rural population did rebound by 0.25 percent from 2020 to 2022 as some families decamped from urban areas during the pandemic.

But demographers say they are still evaluating whether that trend will continue, and if so, where. Pennsylvania has been particularly afflicted. Job losses in the manufacturing and energy industries that began in the 1980s prompted many younger families to relocate to Sun Belt states. The relocations helped fuel population surges in places like Texas and Georgia. But here, two-thirds of the state’s 67 counties have experienced a drop in population in recent years.

Non-paywall link

  • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    This rural Pennsylvania town could get a huge population boom if they had a “we welcome queer people and migrants and we don’t tolerate hate” policy they announced to the world.

    But of course, that’s way too far for them.

    • CherenkovBlue@lemmy.myserv.one
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      5 months ago

      Really? That’s your go-to glib answer? No discussion about education opportunities or job prospects? No question about why the downturn was really noted in 2014? Just immediately jumping to the conclusion that rural people MUST be hateful?

      Disappointing.

      • lennybird@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        Look I’m from such a small Pennsylvania town. Rural Appalachian. Coal mines and specialty steel production most notably.

        Both of you are right, and the problems feed back into each other to some extent.

        After my family migrated west more than a decade ago, every single time we go back to PA to visit family, attend a funeral and so forth — it just keeps looking more and more run down. Honestly the place is a shit-hole nowadays. I’m sad to see my old county went for Trump by 70%. You couldn’t pay me enough to move my family back.

        The young, educated, smart, and compassionate folks leave and GTFO asap — both for jobs, and for more diversity and tolerance. The sad part is I remember watching a slew of documentaries in the early 2000s forewarning of what would happen to these small-towns…

        • Because of shipping manufacturing off elsewhere.
        • Because of big box corporate eating up local shops, eroding community and draining out the money.
        • Because administrations were unwilling to break the hard news that things like coal mines wouldn’t last forever and we’d have to help retrain and get them to new modern job sectors.

        No doubt these communities feel the pressures they’re complaining about; they’ve just been exploited by right-wing media about who is responsible: the southern migrant more desperate than them, the trans, the homosexuals, the liberals, etc…

        @FlyingSquid is also right that there is FAR more bigotry among these communities as well; and that ties back to not being well-traveled, our education system collapsing, and the right-wing fearmongering machine.

        Edit: Shit, Inside Out 3 should be about being inside the head of a MAGA supporter.

      • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        You’re right, it’s probably one of those rural Republican-voting towns full of residents who love queer people and migrants.

      • pixeltree
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        5 months ago

        Uhhhhh, I don’t care much for their response either but like a solid 80% of rural houses are flying trump flags, even in states like new york. You can pretty safely assume that old rural people are hateful.

      • coffeecoffeecoffee89@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        I left because of the bigotry and hate. I work remotely and don’t have kids. That is the only thing stopping me.

        Diversity leads to education opportunities and jobs. Hate and discrimination are the reason there are no jobs and shitty education. Please stop white washing our society. The hate is a cancer.

      • Dkarma@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        When someone shows you who they are, believe them the first time…and every time after.

        These assholes don’t change.

      • EatATaco@lemm.ee
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        5 months ago

        This thread is filled with close minded, bigoted people shitting on people for being close minded and bigoted. It would be funny if it wasn’t so terribly tragic.

        But you seem new here. This is pretty typical for Lemmy. So I guess I should say welcome. Lol

        • harrys_balzac@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          5 months ago

          The existence of close minded, bigoted people automatically renders them in violation of just about every societal norm and contract.

          Punching a racist/homophobe/terf/Mazi is always justified. Their existence is a threat to others because of their beliefs.

          Would you tell an abused spouse to tolerate or be less close minded about being hit or emotionally abused?

          Go f off with your fence sitting.

          • EatATaco@lemm.ee
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            5 months ago

            You’re confusing my lack of a double standard with fence sitting.

            One person being bigoted and close minded doesn’t preclude other people from also being bigoted and close minded.

            I could be a racist piece of shit and drop the n word. If a black person then turns around and calls all white people racist pieces of shit, we’re both bigots.

            I’m not tolerating bigotry, I’m calling it all out. It’s you, right here, that’s defending bigotry. Not me.

            • vaultdweller013@sh.itjust.works
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              5 months ago

              But youre analog doesnt working with most social bigotries. There arent many folks who are say gay or trans who hate cis or straught folks. Sure an antifascist may want to set a Nazi on fire and watch them slowly die, but the track record of fascists as a whole is covered in so much blood ya cant see a record.

              The closest ya may get is someone like myself who hates say the Seventh Day Adventist to the point that it seems like bigotry, but even then bigotry is usually irrational I hate them because of a long list of slights both big and small against my family going back a hundred years. Also theyre cultists.

              Ya aint calling out a double standard, tolerance is a social contract if broken civility is right out. When we dont have civility we have savager, the rules of savagery is violence be it social, verbal, economic, psychological, or physical.

            • negativeyoda@lemmy.world
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              5 months ago

              I could be a racist piece of shit and drop the n word. If a black person then turns around and calls all white people racist pieces of shit, we’re both bigots

              Except… 2 people being assholes when the power dynamic is still very stilted is NOT a level playing field. Context matters. You’re not some enlightened sigma with this hot take.

              Suffer a few generations of systemic oppression and you might get the parity you think you have

              • EatATaco@lemm.ee
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                5 months ago

                I didn’t say the playing field was level; I understand that I’ve been granted many benefits due to my race and sex.

                I said they are both bigots. Are you really arguing that a black guy saying all white people are pieces of shit is not a bigot?

          • EatATaco@lemm.ee
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            5 months ago

            I’m not saying to be tolerant of intolerance. This thread is filled with people shitting on people from rural areas, and being extremely prejudiced.

      • tiredofsametab@kbin.run
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        5 months ago

        That was true of the small Ohio town I grew up in. Tons of anti-semitism, racism, hatred of non-straights, hatred of non-christians, etc. Most of the jobs were in agriculture and manufacturing. I no longer live in the US but, if I had to move back, I don’t think you could pay me enough to live in that place again.

    • interrobang
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      5 months ago

      Were about to move to a smaller but more queer friendly town for this exact reason. My city seems indifferent at best, and I’d like to live somewhere that actually likes us.

      We’re DINKs, we pay taxes, were good neighbors pretty much any way you look at it, but were visibly queer & barely feel tolerated here.

      • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        In what state is this ‘smaller but more queer friendly town?’ Because I’m guessing it’s not rural PA.

        • interrobang
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          4 months ago

          Its not haha, its Bloomington IN. I cannot believe how queer that lil town is, its amazing

          • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            Really? I grew up there. Seriously. Born in Bloomington Hospital, went to BDLC, then Bloomington Montessori, then Batchelor Middle School, then BHS South (graduated in '95), then IU (dropped out because I’m a dummy). My mom still lives there, as do a ton of my friends.

            It is definitely more queer friendly than a lot of towns, but you go over to the west side of town, a place like Highland Village, and you walk down the street holding hands with your boyfriend, you’ll probably still get harassed at the very least.

            There’s still a ton of redneck townies there.

            That said, I have the misfortune of living in Terre Haute and we’re planning to retire in Bloomington (unless Trump wins, in which case we’re using my dual citizenship to get the fuck out of here) and my daughter is queer, so I’m glad we’ll be retiring in a place where she can basically feel safe.

            What floors me is that Terre Haute got a Pride Center and had its first Pride celebration after fucking Spencer.

            • interrobang
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              4 months ago

              Well to be clear were in Ohio now, so my standards for ‘queer/trans friendly’ arent high, but the area we hang out in has been nicer than our current place, more affordable, everything we want.

              Its no west Hollywood haha but its a start

              • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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                4 months ago

                Please don’t tell me you are in Chillicothe, because I was there for a while too. (And North Hollywood rather than West, which is on the other side of a mountain range).

                • interrobang
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                  4 months ago

                  Further south, right on the KY border

                  It suuuuuuuuucks

                  • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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                    4 months ago

                    Chillicothe sucked too. One bar and it was all country music and cowboy hats. Dudes, you’re in fucking Ohio.