• niktemadur@lemmy.world
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    15 days ago

    Because so many people in the United States have elected to stab themselves - and EVERYONE else along with them - with a rusty knife, out of ignorant rage and lazy ignorance.

  • SassyRamen@lemmy.world
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    15 days ago

    Don’t forget South Korea. Do you really think America will be on their side this time around with Dump and Kim being kissing friends?

      • Ascend910@lemmy.ml
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        15 days ago

        Don’t they already got all the technology in place and all they need is time?

        • CheeseNoodle@lemmy.world
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          15 days ago

          I think so, iirc South Korea, Japan and a few european nations are considered functionally nuclear capable in that they have all the material, fascilities and scientific knowledge to assemble nukes in a very short timeframe should it become desirable.

    • Resand@lemmy.world
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      15 days ago

      Honestly at this point, in a 1 on 1 war between south and north, I’d wager on South. Will still suck super bad tho

  • perestroika@lemm.ee
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    15 days ago

    Quick analysis: the US flushed itself down the toilet.

    • Likely fact: Republicans now control all 4 towers of the castle (president, senate, house of representatives and surpreme court).

    • Conclusion: the situation allows Republicans to steamroll legislation into force.

    • Further conclusion: US voters really don’t understand what they are doing.

    Climate: it’s bad, but one president’s rule is short. Trump will withdraw from the Paris treaty and sabotage domestic attempts to curb emissions. Europe and China will continue their attempts because they haven’t changed, and they want energy independence. Climate is a system with great inertia. We are beaten by the mistakes of previous decades, new generations will be beaten by our mistakes. Increasingly hard.

    Ukraine: the situation is very bad. The Biden administration won approval for 60 billion of support in spring, but according to Zelensky, only 10% has been delivered so far. Unless the DoD hurries the hell out of itself, Trump will close the tap on aid that Biden secured. Trump will try diplomacy, but Putin’s administration is made of a different sort of people. They are running for life while Trumpists are running for lunch. Putin will politely send him where sun doesn’t shine and continue grinding meat, now with an added flavour of North Korean. Ukraine faces a very difficult choice: fight a retreating war in conditions of decreasing aid, hoping that revolutionary conditions arise in Russia… or make peace with the attacker, giving them territory. Ukraine will need all the assistance it can get from anywhere. Knowing this, and knowing the risk of a Trump re-election, I started developing a drone system 6 months ago. It has gone through many iterations and might be capable of combat in the coming month. I didn’t sign up to live in a world like this, but hey, you take what you’re given. :(

    If the war in Ukraine gives Putin territory and peace as a result, Putin and his heirs know that you can get territory and peace with war: any place in Eastern Europe could be next.

    In summer, Congress locked away the keys for leaving NATO, but Republicans now control both houses and Trump has cleansed the party of dissenters. Trump can credibly threaten to withdraw from NATO or actually do it.

    Taiwan needs to find more alliances, because the US might become unreliable, and China knows this. The rest of the world needs to think if they can do without electronics during a Chinese attempt to conquer Taiwan.

    Democracy in the US: will be dismantled in favour of something like Hungary. We will see ministers who are oligarchs like Musk or irresponsible liars like Kennedy. Since the storm is near-perfect, I predict that democracy will give way to oligarchy. Risk of disturbances, repressions and internal conflict will grow.

    Until now, only unstable people wanted to assassinate Trump. Given these conditions, I predict that stable but ruthless people who see a danger to their future will join the game. They will reason as follows: “risk has reached certainty and there is still time to prevent outcomes”. If I was working in the Secret Service, I would increase protection on Trump 10 times (unless I hated him).

    • ZILtoid1991@lemmy.world
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      15 days ago

      One big difference between Hungary and the US are guns. It’ll either can lead to a revolution much easier than in Hungary, or a Krystalnacht that is followed by the return of KKK-style lynchings.

      For Ukraine, peace is not a real option. They can choose between war and being oppressed by Putin. And now, how they want to go out in history: in a war with glory, or under Putin’s boot who tells them: “no, you’re Russians, speak Russian”. I refuse to call “ethnic cleansing” peace. At best, it’s just the illlusion of such, because tanks are not crossing state borders.

      Fascists like Trump choose their henchman based on loyalty, not skills. He will just get a lot of badly trained soldiers as basically meat shields.

      • margaritox@lemmy.world
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        15 days ago

        Not only that, but “peace“ deal with Putin will only benefit Putin, as it will give him time to regroup and improve his strategy, while the military aid to Ukraine stops. Then he’ll say: “oh shit! Ukraine is attacking us again! They broke the peace deal” and continue the invasion. 

      • Freefall@lemmy.world
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        14 days ago

        Civilian gun ownership makes revolution more bloody, it doesn’t give it any more chance of success.

    • AA5B@lemmy.world
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      15 days ago

      For the EV part of the upcoming climate catastrophe …. If he’s successful at stopping growth of EVs, the biggest impact might just be the destruction of the Detroit based automakers. If they can’t compete in the rest of the world due to no EVs, there’s only so long they can stay in business selling coal rolling trucks to yahoo Americans

    • perestroika@lemm.ee
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      15 days ago

      I live in Eastern Europe, and seriously recommend your people start researching nuclear weapons. :(

      • needanke@feddit.org
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        15 days ago

        France and the UK still have nuklear weapons, I would think the rest of the millitary would be more of a problem.

        I would suspect both sides would not use nuklear weapons unless they get really desperate. So what is currently deturring Putin from attacking eastern europe is the thread of the reagular US millitary just kicking his ass and having no chance of gaining any land. But if it was just nato without the US he might gamble on them not using their nukes if he just takes, say northern Finnland, which he might think is feasable without US-troops.

        • freebee@sh.itjust.works
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          14 days ago

          Of all possible next targets he could choose, Finland , Norway or Sweden would be the dumbest ever. These countries are prepared, always have been. It would be fucking hard, even without NATO. The next targets would more likely be other not well affiliated countries like Moldova, Georgia. Then Baltics.

      • RandomVideos@programming.dev
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        15 days ago

        Do you live in a country that is part of the EU?

        If one member of the EU is attacked, the others will have to defend the country

    • MisterFrog@lemmy.world
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      15 days ago

      This may be misremembering, but I thought I once heard of some people in Taiwan (a small, but vocal, number) liked Trump because of his “China Bad” rhetoric.

      It’s not quite as spicy from my side of the world (Australia), but I really do not like the idea of our closest military ally being controlled by a fascist.

      Just seems like risky business, ya know?

    • Eunie@feddit.org
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      15 days ago

      I think Taiwan will be fine… for now. Trump is so Anti-China I doubt the US will drop its support. Eastern Europe however is basically fucked now

  • Maple Engineer@lemmy.world
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    15 days ago

    The most annoying thing over the next few years is going to be listening to:

    “What happened to my helthcare?” "You voted for Trump who promised to take it away. " “But I didn’t think it would effect me!”

    “Why are the prices of groceries so high?” “You voted for Trump who promised to deport all the illegal farm workers who picked your food for low wages.” “But I didn’t think it would effect me!”

    “Why did my daughter/wife/girlfriend/mother die in a hospital parking lot?” “You voted for Trump who promised to make life saving healthcare for women illegal nation wide.” “But I didn’t think it would effect me!”

    “What happened to the minimum wage?” “You voted for Trump who promised to lower it.” “But I didn’t think it would effect me!”

    “What happened to the Palestinians?” “You voted for Trump/voted for a third party candidate which allowed Trump to rise to power then he gave Netanyahu the go ahead to wipe them out.” “But I didn’t think that would happen to my family!”

    Suck it up. This is your bed. You shat it in. Now lie there and be quiet. We’re tired of your bullshit.

    • Revan343@lemmy.ca
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      15 days ago

      “Why did graphics cards quadruple in price?”

      “You voted for Trump, who supported China steamrolling Taiwan, and now all of TSMCs foundries are bricked.”

      • Maple Engineer@lemmy.world
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        15 days ago

        I wonder if it’s the US or Taiwan that donates the thermite grenades on the machines? If it’s the US Trump might just order them not to donate them as a gift to Xi.

        • Revan343@lemmy.ca
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          12 days ago

          From what I’ve read, TSMC themselves take a hardline anti-China stance. If Chinese jackboots set foot in Taiwan, they’ll brick all of their foundries, or at least they say they will. Whether they actually will when push comes to shove is the bigger question

          • Maple Engineer@lemmy.world
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            12 days ago

            I don’t think it’s an issue of bricking them. I think they thermite grenade them. It’s the optical technology that sets the ASML machines apart. They have to destroy the machines.

              • Maple Engineer@lemmy.world
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                12 days ago

                Uh, no it isn’t. Bricking would be to render them inoperable. The machines need to be completely destroyed to keep the physical components of the optical path out of the hands of the Chinese. Thermite grenades on the optics and C4 to make sure

                • Revan343@lemmy.ca
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                  12 days ago

                  I’m pretty sure thermite will render them inoperable; it tends to render most things inoperable

    • Funkwonker
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      14 days ago

      Honestly, I think it’ll be worth drilling the fact that it’s the Republican Party, not just Trump. Otherwise, folks deep in the cult will just use the current figurehead as a scapegoat for everything wrong with the party without acknowledging that the party itself works against them.

      They probably will, anyway, but it’s worth a shot.

      • Maple Engineer@lemmy.world
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        14 days ago

        This was a well executed decades long plan by the christofascists to turn the United States into a christofascist theocratic autocracy using the Republican party at a framework and vehicle and leveraging the fear, hatred, and ignorance of the heartland to do it. The only way to come back from this is to abandon any attempts to court the right and center and to design and execute a plan to take the country back from the fascists and oligarchs, to fix the courts, to fix the elections, to fix public educating and healthcare, to redistribute wealth, and to give the country back to the people, not just the rich, white, Christian, male people.

        • Maple Engineer@lemmy.world
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          14 days ago

          The frustrating thing is that the red center of the country just voted itself into slavery. Trump has said that he’s going to reduce the minimum wage. Project 2025 will destroy the education department, the ACA will be dismantled, social security will be eliminated, workers rights are going away. You will work for slave wages with no protections, no benefits, and no pension then you will fuck off and die when they’ve used you up.

          Congratulations! Your fear, hated, and hunger for vengeance on those you resent was used to manipulate you into the biggest self-own in human history.

  • tyo_ukko@sopuli.xyz
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    15 days ago

    If it is of any solace, the global oligarchs will be safe and well through all that is about to unfold.

  • riodoro1@lemmy.world
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    15 days ago

    Do you guys seriously believe everything would be fine if he didn’t win?

    The world was as fucked yesterday as it is today. You just didn’t see it on the news. Does it matter if the civilization ends a week earlier?

    • AA5B@lemmy.world
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      15 days ago

      We fear it will be a decade or more earlier. We fear the difference between my children having a habitable environment and my children having to deal with ever increasing climate disasters. We fear losing human rights, consumer protection, any semblance of a safety net. We fear increasing polarity in what is already an untenable situation. We fear descending into chaos and tyranny, and taking parts of the world with us.

    • Zink@programming.dev
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      15 days ago

      Do you guys seriously believe everything would be fine if he didn’t win?

      Of course not, and nobody is saying that. But it would be better. Harm reduction is good even though we can’t actually ever fix the world.

      Does it matter if the civilization ends a week earlier?

      Um, yes? It’s safe to say that both you and I will die some day. I’d rather that be in 100 years versus tomorrow.

  • MisterScruffy@lemmy.ml
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    15 days ago

    Palestinians were very much already in danger. Both sides in america are so tied to Israel that biden refused to stand up to bibi even while he was openly campaigning for trump

    • Lauchs@lemmy.worldOP
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      15 days ago

      It’s the difference between being in a burning building and being the same burning building while people throwing Molotov cocktails through the windows.

      Both are dangerous but one is worse.

      • MisterScruffy@lemmy.ml
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        14 days ago

        In this case if you pick just the burning building then the group keeping you in that building are saying “we can’t let you out of there but you better support us or the guys with the molotovs will show up”

        I understand that logically you’d pick option A but would you have enthusiastic support for the people keeping you trapped in the building?

        Candidates have to get people motivated to vote and “we won’t do better but the other guy will do worse” is not motivating enough. We saw how that plays out yesterday

    • rsuri@lemmy.world
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      14 days ago

      Simple reality is there’s twice as many Jewish voters than muslim voters, and Jewish voters are more likely to vote Democrat. So ironically the best thing Biden could’ve done for Palestine was to not piss off the Israel crowd and cause Trump’s election.

      But maybe he’ll stand up now that the election is over. Time to cut off the weapons. Long time coming. Make Trump reinstate weapons for Israel and see how that goes for him. You Palestine people need to push 10x as hard now as you did before the election. Something tells me you won’t.

      • MisterScruffy@lemmy.ml
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        14 days ago

        The push will be harder now because dems and libs will suddenly realize it’s an atrocity the instant trump gets in office. They’ll flip from telling pro Palestine people to shut up to yelling the same things we’ve been yelling for a year but at trump because the person in power finally won’t be on their team so they finally will allow for criticism of the president.