vegeta@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 4 months agoHarris tops Trump for first time in Nate Silver’s election forecastthehill.comexternal-linkmessage-square26fedilinkarrow-up1295
arrow-up1295external-linkHarris tops Trump for first time in Nate Silver’s election forecastthehill.comvegeta@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 4 months agomessage-square26fedilink
minus-squareFedizen@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up8·4 months agonate silver’s election forecasts are what, within 5% 3/4 of the time?
minus-squareZaktor@sopuli.xyzlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up6·4 months ago5% is a huge margin in polling. He should be within that margin much more often than 75%.
nate silver’s election forecasts are what, within 5% 3/4 of the time?
60% of the time, it works every time
5% is a huge margin in polling. He should be within that margin much more often than 75%.