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Cake day: February 2nd, 2024

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  • I’ve repeated this prediction a bajillion times, but I suspect this bubble’s discredited the idea of artificial intelligence, and expect it to quickly die once this bubble bursts.

    Between the terabytes upon terabytes of digital mediocrity the slop-nami’s given us, LLMs’ countless and relentless failures in logic and reason, the large-scale enshittification of daily life their mere existence has enabled, and their power consumption singlehandedly accelerating the climate crisis, I feel that the public’s come to view computers as inherently incapable of humanlike cognition/creativity, no matter how many gigawatts they consume or oceans they boil.

    Expanding on this somewhat, I suspect AI as a concept will likely also come to be seen as an inherently fascist concept.

    With the current bubble’s link to esoteric fascism, the far-right’s open adoration of slop, basically everything about OpenAI’s Studio Ghibli slopgen, and God-knows-what-else, the public’s got plenty of reason to treat use or support of AI as a severe indictment of someone’s character in and of itself - a “tech asshole signifier”, to quote Baldur Bjarnason.

    And, of course, AI as a concept will probably come to be viewed as inherently anti-art/anti-artist as well - considering how badly the AI bubble’s shafted artists, and artists specifically, that kinda goes without saying.
















  • You’re dead right on that.

    On a wider front, I expect the bubble’s burst will deal some long-lasting damage to the tech industry, on two major fronts:

    1. Evaluations/stock prices will go through the floor, as investor assumptions of Endless Growthtm are shattered, and the tech industry comes to be seen as “a stable, mature industry whose days of endless growth are behind it” (quoting Baldur Bjarnason), at best and deep in the throes of a serious malaise era at worst. One outcome is obviously better than the other, but both will lead to a lotta pain.

    2. The tech industry’s public image, already in the shitter for a litany of reasons, will likely take another significant blow as the industry’s ability to generate hype for AI and/or counteract the boiling resentment towards it completely falls apart.