To the ppl who think chatgpt and other LLMs will create terminator style robots, you can make the argument that LLMs are just a text prediction engine and incapable of that.
However, you can’t use that argument to say LLMs are harmless. They are capable of other types of harm, mostly when users blindly trust what LLM’s output.
Yes, I see that the argument depends on the context.
Honestly, I expect some form of mass unemployment in the future coming along with mass automation.
That doesn’t mean that every job will get automated, but a large fraction (especially office jobs) will.
Also, please consider that it isn’t relevant “how many jobs there are”. It is relevant how well these jobs are paying. It would be very significant if AI took all of the well-paying “white collar” jobs, while humans are stuck with a lot of, but poorly paying, blue collar jobs and pink collar jobs.
EDIT: to whom it might concern, I believe that birth rate has to go down to keep the wages up. Because the labor market is a market, and less supply (fewer workers) = higher pay.
Or we could ditch the idea that everyone needs to work and allow that technology will allow for lives of leisure. You’re not going to reduce the birth rate because people like fucking, and you’re not going to remove this technology, so other solutions need to be found. We have them, we know that they are (UBI, hint hint), we just need politicians who are willing to implement them and that is where we are failing right now
However, I consider myself a little bit more realistic. Politics (especially in the US) will not allow for any form of socialism, be it UBI or something else, at least not in the near future. I believe that making fewer babies (contraception) is a strong handle that the people hold. Sure, people like fucking, but doesn’t determine baby count.
It’s less ridiculous when you realize the human brain is also a prediction engine. It can just operate in a wide variety of ways instead of just being limited to only talking, or only folding proteins, or only playing chess or whatever.
I don’t believe that AI is scary.
At least, it’s no more scary than a hammer.
It’s a tool.
But I did want to point out that the argument that AI is “just a text prediction engine” is ridiculous.
The argument depends on the context.
To the ppl who think chatgpt and other LLMs will create terminator style robots, you can make the argument that LLMs are just a text prediction engine and incapable of that.
However, you can’t use that argument to say LLMs are harmless. They are capable of other types of harm, mostly when users blindly trust what LLM’s output.
Yes, I see that the argument depends on the context.
Honestly, I expect some form of mass unemployment in the future coming along with mass automation.
That doesn’t mean that every job will get automated, but a large fraction (especially office jobs) will.
Also, please consider that it isn’t relevant “how many jobs there are”. It is relevant how well these jobs are paying. It would be very significant if AI took all of the well-paying “white collar” jobs, while humans are stuck with a lot of, but poorly paying, blue collar jobs and pink collar jobs.
EDIT: to whom it might concern, I believe that birth rate has to go down to keep the wages up. Because the labor market is a market, and less supply (fewer workers) = higher pay.
Or we could ditch the idea that everyone needs to work and allow that technology will allow for lives of leisure. You’re not going to reduce the birth rate because people like fucking, and you’re not going to remove this technology, so other solutions need to be found. We have them, we know that they are (UBI, hint hint), we just need politicians who are willing to implement them and that is where we are failing right now
Yes, I agree. That would be the best case.
However, I consider myself a little bit more realistic. Politics (especially in the US) will not allow for any form of socialism, be it UBI or something else, at least not in the near future. I believe that making fewer babies (contraception) is a strong handle that the people hold. Sure, people like fucking, but doesn’t determine baby count.
It’s less ridiculous when you realize the human brain is also a prediction engine. It can just operate in a wide variety of ways instead of just being limited to only talking, or only folding proteins, or only playing chess or whatever.