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Bread and Circuses (@breadandcircuses@climatejustice.social)
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Today, there are around 1.31 billion personal vehicles (cars, trucks, and SUVs) in the world. 🚙 Of those, only about 2% are hybrid or electric. The other 98% are ICE vehicles burning gasoline/petrol.
By 2050, it’s estimated we’ll have about 2.21 billion vehicles in the world. That’s a HUGE number, almost 70% greater than today.
But how many of those will be electric? Instead of only 2%, it’s expected they will increase to around 31% of the total.
That sounds great! 😃 More EVs is a good thing, right?
Well, if 31% are EVs in 2050, that means the other 69% will *still* be ICE vehicles burning gas/petrol. So the number of cars and trucks and SUVs burning fossil fuels will go UP from 1.28 billion now to about 1.52 billion by 2050.
That’s… not so good. 😠
We don’t *need* more cars, more traffic, more congestion, more pollution, more road damage, and more CO2 emissions.
What we need is:
❇️ More bicycles
❇️ More electric bikes
❇️ More pedestrians
❇️ More mass transit
❇️ More light rail
NOT MORE CARS!!
#Environment #Climate #ClimateChange #ClimateCrisis #CO2 #Emissions
The part of ICE vehicles that will become unaffordable is the gas, not the vehicle itself. In fact, I expect the price of gas to result in even cheaper ICE vehicles because they’ll have to make up for the price of gas somehow.
Not sure it’ll keep pace with the price reductions going on in the land of EVs and batteries though. The only reason why EVs are so expensive is because of the supply/demand curve (and the fact that manufacturers seem to be focusing on cars with loads of luxury features). Sooner or later the supply will catch up and their price will plummet.
That is certainly not the only reason why EVs are still so expensive. Raw materials for batteries are a large portion of their cost. Currently, the cost of many of these raw materials does not account for a living wage for miners or the impacts mining can have on miners and the surrounding environment, and still the raw materials cost is a large portion of the cost of the batteries. Sure, there could be some magic new battery chemistry that circumvents this issue, but it’s unreasonable to expect that. The previous data showing drops in car battery prices could keep going down, sure, but it’s more complicated than simply economics of scale.