I have to believe this is just posturing for the people at home on the part of Zelenskyy. He has to know immediate membership of Ukraine into NATO means direct war with Russia leading to nuclear escalation, as Ukraine would immediately invoke Article 5.
Just saying “Ukraine will be invited to NATO once the conflict is over” is enough; it means whatever territory Russia gets to keep over the course of this conflict is it, because then Ukraine becomes NATO territory. It forces Russia to try and win it all (which they can’t) because there won’t be another invasion of Ukraine.
Yeah, that’s what I’ve been thinking too. Zelenskyy had to know that a NATO invitation right now is not realistic. I think it’s posturing to invite constituents in other countries to also act offended that Ukraine isn’t helped more, which then would be in the form of more war support, since it can’t really be much else. Can’t blame him for always taking all opportunities to get more support.
Since yesterday I’ve been wondering:
If NATO declares that Ukraine joins after the war, wouldn’t that mean for Putin that he can’t sell a peace deal to his people?
I think you’re right. And I think NATO wants Russia to completely commit to a war they can’t win until the government collapses and/or rethinks its global strategy.
Not really. He controls the media narrative in Russia, he can tell his people whatever he wants, and hypocrisy and contradictions has never been any problem for him. He has already long since altered his reasons for attacking Ukraine and succesfully fed the Russian population those reasons, and he will keep doing it every time reality threatens to undermine his lies.
So tired of people saying we shouldn’t fight Russia because they may fight back.
Because he wants nuclear annihilation.
I’m sure Zelenskyy knows this isn’t realistic, it’s just politicking.
Yes absolutely. Nobody should expect them to join antyime soon
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Turkey is actually hands and feet up for accepting Ukraine, since Ukraine basically uncritically supports them on every issue important for them.
It’s just that nobody is voluntarily signing up for a war if they don’t have to. Not sure if we’ll see NATO sink to ignoring a real attack on a member followed by article 5 or maybe pressuring such a member not to invoke article 5, seems unlikely, but frankly humans are the same everywhere.
Ah, I’m not impartial, but it’s actually good news for NATO that Ukraine is not getting accepted. It would get a member in which high-ranking officials can be sold and bought almost openly, with mass media culture similar to that of Russia, with still quite chauvinistic and uneducated population, similar to that of Russia.
And to a lesser extent it’s good news for Ukraine that it’s not getting accepted into an alliance which doesn’t seem sufficiently agile to accommodate modern threats. In terms of technical cooperation with NATO countries they don’t really need it, and in terms of actual military participation - ah, there’s a long way from an obligation to an action.
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Well, these cases you mention are normal for any war happening near your border. Protests are in order, maybe threatening to shoot down stuff getting too close, or additional sanctions.
BTW, that missile in Poland could be Ukrainian AD missile, these things happen too.
I’m talking about real honest to God war.
EDIT: But yes, they’ve been in fact moving “red lines” to some notable distances.
Does Zelensky actually think he’s joining NATO? America won’t let go of such an easy proxy war puppet otherwise NATO would have 60+ members by now.
I was also under the impression that it was standard practice not to admit new NATO members currently engaged in a conflict. Quickly skimming through the literature though, doesn’t seem like it’s a hard and fast rule.
Yes and NATO will not admit them unless the war is over. But I would imagine when the war is over they might make a quick proses out of it.
