• iopq@vlemmy.net
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    1 year ago

    Just because you study something doesn’t mean you magically know the future. Stop following “experts” and form your own opinion

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.ml
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      1 year ago

      People who study things have the best idea of what’s likely to happen in the future by virtue of spending the time to understand the domain they study. Maybe if you spend the time learning about the subjects you opine on then you too will be able to make a coherent argument in the future. Consider doing that instead of trolling on internet forums.

      • iopq@vlemmy.net
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        1 year ago

        No, even if you study all your life, it won’t let you predict the future. People study stocks all their lives and they still can’t beat a simple stock index in the long term. So stop listening to articles that make wrong predictions.

        Like Mearshimer who in 2014 predicted Putin had no further territorial ambitions in Ukraine. Yet Putin annexed further regions in Ukraine, despite this “expert” studying stuff.

        • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          1 year ago

          If you don’t understand how expertise allows people to make better decisions than people without any experience in the subject there’s really nothing else to tell you. Good news is I don’t have to convince you of anything, the reality is going to become clear even to you soon enough.

          • iopq@vlemmy.net
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            1 year ago

            I’m questioning his expertise. Every time he says “Russia wouldn’t do that” Russia does it. And he is still considered an expert despite several claims of how Russia:

            1. Wouldn’t try to annex more of Ukraine after Crimea (did it)
            2. Could only have limited military aims in Ukraine (went straight for the capital)
            3. The rest of the former Soviet republics would support Russia (big oof, everyone but Belarus refused to support Russia)

            At this point, you just have to say he’s gotten everything wrong, but continues to double down