Congressional supporters of Ukraine say they won’t give up after a bill to keep the federal government open excluded President Joe Biden’s request for more security assistance for the war-torn nation.
No… page 10&11 clearly states that you’re wrong. It’s effectively a 50/50 split on Ukraine war with an actual majority 45/55 split saying no more funding.
So your argument is what exactly? That the poll is flawed… so there isn’t a majority or plurality? You realize that both for and against could have been answering by their “gut feeling”… a 50/50 split kind of proves the point that it’s not just a few thousand like was claimed.
Of course if you have a better source showing that Americans are happy with spending more money in Ukraine that’s of higher quality I’m all ears.
Polls with a 50/50 split, are a poll structural fail. It means the questions are too ambiguous, and the poll didn’t control for it. A split of 40/40 with 20% “undecided”? That would be a credible divisive poll. A 50/50? No way.
Look at the “trends” section on page 3, “not sure” between 7% and 14%, those are credible numbers. Now look at pages 10&11, 0% to 1% “no opinion”? That’s BS.
So there’s trends, meaning that these question (or types of questions) before weren’t a problem… But magically… now it’s a problem? And you have no other resources to corroborate your stance (since I asked for a better one and you’ve failed to provide).
But now, since it’s a much more divisive topic… it’s ALL over the media… talked about nearly every day from both sides… You think that the 7-14% wouldn’t diminish at all? Hell giving you the 14% doesn’t change the equation we’re looking at here… It’s still a Plurality, just not a straight majority. But even at 45/55 I wouldn’t call it a straight majority.
It’s funny because the pg 12 shows 2-5% “Don’t know” responses. and page 9 shows up to 3%. But that’s not the point… Even if we take the sampling error rate AWAY from the “anti-Ukrainian aid” side of this debate and give it to the “pro-Ukranian aid” outright… It’s STILL a plurality at the very least and still a slim majority at that. 49% vs 51%… Even if we double or triple or quadruple that error rate to 39%… it’s STILL a large amount of Americans (certainly qualifying for “Plurality”) who feel that additional monetary aid isn’t warranted. But the real litmus test is reading the questions yourself. Really don’t see how
"15a. Do you think Congress should or should not authorize additional funding to support Ukraine in the war with Russia? " is ambiguous.
My point all along is that Plurality is a correct term here, yet was downvoted to hell… And even being absurdly generous to your argument we still see that’s accurate. If you can find BETTER data then I’m all ears. But up to this point you haven’t… and quite frankly your arguments were weak as we can see that even skewing the data in your favor MANY times over, it’s still accurate to say that a plurality of Americans do not want to spend more money over there.
And before you start claiming I have some bias. I’m a dual citizen and hold a Polish citizenship. I’m not a stranger to Russia bullshit. But even Poland, who took in MILLIONS (doing well more than any other country) of refugees is starting to wear down and refuse aid to Ukraine.
My argument is that linking a shitty poll that paint the issue in black or white does nothing to help to paint the picture of public opinion on the russia’s attack on Ukraine and how people feel about it.
Can you show how the poll is misrepresenting it as a black/white issue?
I can, but you don’t seem to be genuinely interested, so I’m not going to waste my time.
Do you have ANY better statistical resource?
No, but sometimes no resource is of more quality than a misleading poll.
I can, but you don’t seem to be genuinely interested, so I’m not going to waste my time.
Sounds like that’s a no then…
No, but sometimes no resource is of more quality than a misleading poll.
If you can provide any evidence that it’s misleading… I’ll take it. But you’ve failed to do so and continue to whinge about it even though you’ve got nothing better to replace the poll as evidence.
https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/04/politics/cnn-poll-ukraine/index.html
Which sources: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/23897329-cnn-ukraine-poll
No… page 10&11 clearly states that you’re wrong. It’s effectively a 50/50 split on Ukraine war with an actual majority 45/55 split saying no more funding.
These polls are as idiotic as the Brexit Referendum was.
People have no fucking clue what’s going on and they answer by their “gut feeling”. So it’s all down to the way the question is formed.
And it’s not a “yes” or “no” type of situation either.
So your argument is what exactly? That the poll is flawed… so there isn’t a majority or plurality? You realize that both for and against could have been answering by their “gut feeling”… a 50/50 split kind of proves the point that it’s not just a few thousand like was claimed.
Of course if you have a better source showing that Americans are happy with spending more money in Ukraine that’s of higher quality I’m all ears.
A 50/50 split also kind of proves that the answers are as thought out as a coin toss…
So all 50/50 splits are coin toss decisions and not devisive topics? That’s a hot take. Especially with n=1000+ polls.
Polls with a 50/50 split, are a poll structural fail. It means the questions are too ambiguous, and the poll didn’t control for it. A split of 40/40 with 20% “undecided”? That would be a credible divisive poll. A 50/50? No way.
From the source you cited: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/23897329-cnn-ukraine-poll
Look at the “trends” section on page 3, “not sure” between 7% and 14%, those are credible numbers. Now look at pages 10&11, 0% to 1% “no opinion”? That’s BS.
So there’s trends, meaning that these question (or types of questions) before weren’t a problem… But magically… now it’s a problem? And you have no other resources to corroborate your stance (since I asked for a better one and you’ve failed to provide).
But now, since it’s a much more divisive topic… it’s ALL over the media… talked about nearly every day from both sides… You think that the 7-14% wouldn’t diminish at all? Hell giving you the 14% doesn’t change the equation we’re looking at here… It’s still a Plurality, just not a straight majority. But even at 45/55 I wouldn’t call it a straight majority.
It’s funny because the pg 12 shows 2-5% “Don’t know” responses. and page 9 shows up to 3%. But that’s not the point… Even if we take the sampling error rate AWAY from the “anti-Ukrainian aid” side of this debate and give it to the “pro-Ukranian aid” outright… It’s STILL a plurality at the very least and still a slim majority at that. 49% vs 51%… Even if we double or triple or quadruple that error rate to 39%… it’s STILL a large amount of Americans (certainly qualifying for “Plurality”) who feel that additional monetary aid isn’t warranted. But the real litmus test is reading the questions yourself. Really don’t see how
"15a. Do you think Congress should or should not authorize additional funding to support Ukraine in the war with Russia? " is ambiguous.
My point all along is that Plurality is a correct term here, yet was downvoted to hell… And even being absurdly generous to your argument we still see that’s accurate. If you can find BETTER data then I’m all ears. But up to this point you haven’t… and quite frankly your arguments were weak as we can see that even skewing the data in your favor MANY times over, it’s still accurate to say that a plurality of Americans do not want to spend more money over there.
And before you start claiming I have some bias. I’m a dual citizen and hold a Polish citizenship. I’m not a stranger to Russia bullshit. But even Poland, who took in MILLIONS (doing well more than any other country) of refugees is starting to wear down and refuse aid to Ukraine.
My argument is that linking a shitty poll that paint the issue in black or white does nothing to help to paint the picture of public opinion on the russia’s attack on Ukraine and how people feel about it.
Can you show how the poll is misrepresenting it as a black/white issue?
Do you have ANY better statistical resource?
Sounds like that’s a no then…
If you can provide any evidence that it’s misleading… I’ll take it. But you’ve failed to do so and continue to whinge about it even though you’ve got nothing better to replace the poll as evidence.
I don’t respond well to sealioning, my dear random keyboarder.
You don’t respond well at all… When asked for anything to defend your stance, you got bumpkiss nothing.