For anyone else also curious where it might land, I found this write up from 2022, by Marco Langbroek (A Lecturer in optical SSA at the Aerospace Faculty of TU Delf):
With an orbital inclination of 52 degrees, the Kosmos 482 Descent Craft could come down anywhere between 52 degrees north and 52 degrees south latitude. This includes much of south and mid-latitude Europe and Asia, as well as the Americas and the whole of Africa and Australia. Of course, the biggest chances are that it will land in one of the oceans, as the failed Phobos-Grunt Venus mission did on January 15, 2011.
I hope it lands on the russian victory parade.
The one in Moscow or the one in Washington?
i hope it doesn’t!
you’re wishing death specifically on people celebrating the anniversary of the surrender of Nazi Germany?
It’s going to be like a small plane crash, not an asteroid.
How about it flies over, makes a sonic boom, and embeds itself in a burning ammo dump?
Valid military target, so yes!
Also don’t forget the URSS started WW2 !
Moscow is at just slightly too high of a latitude to be hit by it. It should land somewhere between 52 degrees north and south latitude.
For anyone else also curious where it might land, I found this write up from 2022, by Marco Langbroek (A Lecturer in optical SSA at the Aerospace Faculty of TU Delf):
Illustrated in this image from Live Science.
Google Earth also offers a really good view, if you enable Gridlines in the Layer feature in the bottom left.