cm0002@lemmy.world to memes@lemmy.world · 4 个月前Conspiracieslemmy.mlimagemessage-square69fedilinkarrow-up1873cross-posted to: memes@lemmy.ml
arrow-up1873imageConspiracieslemmy.mlcm0002@lemmy.world to memes@lemmy.world · 4 个月前message-square69fedilinkcross-posted to: memes@lemmy.ml
minus-squarelazynooblet@lazysoci.allinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up9·4 个月前I don’t get the middle statement. If you pick just one, the chance is 5%
minus-squarezxqwas@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up2·edit-24 个月前If you pick one you’re 5% likely to pick the right one and be 100% correct. You’re 95% likely to pick the wrong one. Then you miss the conspiracy that is true and you believe in one that is not true so 18/20 = 90% correct. Average out the probabilities and it should turn out to be something like 90.5%. Edit:I may be off on the maths now that I think about it.
I don’t get the middle statement. If you pick just one, the chance is 5%
Looks like Big Math got to you
If you pick one you’re 5% likely to pick the right one and be 100% correct.
You’re 95% likely to pick the wrong one. Then you miss the conspiracy that is true and you believe in one that is not true so 18/20 = 90% correct.
Average out the probabilities and it should turn out to be something like 90.5%.
Edit:I may be off on the maths now that I think about it.