Now that we have final numbers. It appears that Harris had all the white & black support she needed for an EC victory. But Trump outright flipping Latino men and making huge gains with Latino women seems to have made all the difference.

What do you think?

First image is 2024, second is 2020.

  • daniskarma@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    3 days ago

    Democrats failed to solve people’s issues. That’s just it.

    But Americans are in for a hard awakening if they think that in general Latin American population is progressive or left leaning. And that democrats have their guaranteed vote.

    Each person is different, of course. And the average doesn’t change any person individual values.

    But on average Latin American countries tend to have overwhelming conservative cultures when compared with USA/Europe.

    This doesn’t negate any Latin American person who is progressive, of course. Just talking about averages and the reality that was shown by the polls.

    In general Democrats, and any left leaning party, think that because they defend immigrants, immigrants will support them by default. This has been shown far from the truth. If someone have conservative values they will probably vote for a conservative party. That’s just it. One person won’t become progressive (as in stopping being sexist or transphobic) just because they moved from one country to another. An immigrant is a whole person with their own sets of values, both before and after they migrate, and won’t be reduced to “being an immigrant” when voting, specially once they are legally settled in a place and their residence won’t be at risk, they will just vote for their values. If they have conservative values they’ll vote conservative if they have progressive values they’ll vote progressive.

    • Wes4Humanity@lemm.ee
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      2 days ago

      Many legal immigrants get pissed if you conflate them with illegal immigrants. They try very hard distance themselves from those people. Couple that with pervasive machismo and Catholic ignorance and this is what you get.

  • Yerbouti@sh.itjust.works
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    2 days ago

    Decades of under-education could only lead to shit. But even for a cynical asshole.like me, your country electing the best friend of the most notorious pedo, after he tried to overtake the previous election is quite something.

  • sith@lemmy.zip
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    1 day ago

    Kamala lost because the policies of the Democrats suck for working class people. And the Democrats are in general corrupt as fuck. It’s as simple as that. Just as in Russia, if the system is super corrupt, better make it explicit by making corruption THE system. USA has been an oligarchy for quite some time. Trump 2.0 just made it explicit.

    • BadmanDan@lemmy.worldOP
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      1 day ago

      Trump literally laughed about Union busting with Elon in front of millions on a Twitter space.

      No republicans voted to extend the child tax credit this year.

      Republicans tried to kill union pensions, Dems saved it with their slim majority.

      Joe Biden did the Chips Act, saving and creating over 800k jobs from being shipped overseas.

      Republicans are the ones in favor of Right to Work.

      Joe Biden at his old age literally marched on the picket line with union workers.

      Seriously, I mean this with no disrespect. What the fuck are you talking about?

  • Landless2029@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    Kamala lost because the Dems didn’t show up. Again. Look at the number of votes for 2020 vs 2024. All those “undecided” and “obstainers” that didn’t just stay home. They didn’t bother doing a mail in.

    • M0oP0o@mander.xyz
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      3 days ago

      Second highest voter turnout in the US. A difference of only 2,624,285 as per University of Florida estimates so far (the number is likely to go down).

      This excuse is getting old.

      One, you are assuming people who did not vote would vote dems.

      Two, you are pushing blame to the voters who did not show up (and based on the lack of choice it is wild so many showed up)

      Three, by pushing that blame on to voters you are almost asking for this to happen again. (By letting the dems keep being crap, pissing off voters, and getting people angry at their neighbours helps the republicans)

      • hydrospanner@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        First, an explanation isn’t an excuse. It’s a reason. It doesn’t make it okay, it doesn’t place or shift blame, it just correctly points something out.

        In this case, Trump broadly received the same number of votes as he did 4 years ago, while the Democrats got millions fewer.

        There’s no assumption there, it’s just an observation.

        It’s not pushing or assigning blame. Maybe they didn’t vote because they were lazy. Maybe they didn’t vote because they didn’t like Harris. Maybe they didn’t vote because they didn’t like the process by which she became the nominee. Maybe they didn’t vote because they’ve lost faith in the entire system.

        Regardless of reason, and regardless of how any observer decides to interpret it or assign blame, the facts speak for themselves.

        • lorty@lemmy.ml
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          2 days ago

          Your explanation ignores the root cause of the issue. People stayed home because the Democrats and Kamala failed to motivate them to go.

      • reliv3@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        Yes, we are comparing the numbers to the highest voter turn out (which was last election). Biden was able to move 6-7 million more people to vote than Kamala, whereas Trump got about the same as he got in 2020.

        Voters have to take some responsibility here. Trump’s base are all being con’d because they are ignorant on how most of the world works beyond their own backyard. Its possible that this is partly true for the 6-7 million people who didn’t vote this election cycle.

        The issue isn’t so much that they didn’t vote for Kamala, but rather they did not have the ability to recognize Trump as the con that he is. Me being of average intelligence feels like this should have been easy to decipher.

        • M0oP0o@mander.xyz
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          Biden was able to move 6-7 million more people to vote than Kamala, whereas Trump got about the same as he got in 2020.

          Trump got more votes then Kamala, that is how elections work. There was not 6-7 million people not voting (2.6 million delta from 2020), but more people showed up for the orange man and this blaming non-voters is just lame.

  • uebquauntbez@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    Kamala Harris lost cause she’s female. And didn’t lie promise (that much) to voters. And had the richest 0.5% of US voters against her. This is cause the oldest wannabe-democracy of the world lost his state long ago.

  • Maeve@kbin.earth
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    3 days ago

    The Dems would have won if they ran a campaign relevant to the struggling and apprehensive. They didn’t. They lost.

      • spujb@lemmy.cafe
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        2 days ago

        you’re getting downvoted as though you are lying. i saw people equivocating the uncommitted movement with pro-Trump on here since February. and now people are turning around and saying “no we didn’t do that that didn’t happen.”

        like maybe it wasn’t you but it happened. be fking for real.

        • KidNamedLainah@lemmy.world
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          Yeah, as much as people on this site love to love to shit on conservatives for being MAGA-brained, most of the Democratic rank-and-file acolytes mirror the same behavior. History will absolve my, and many others’ comments but it’ll be too late to fix problems that could have been avoided. Ultimately, people in general want to be in their echo chambers and have their opinions supported

      • WamGams@lemmy.ca
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        3 days ago

        It’s never any 1 constituency to blame.

        But maybe a campaign telling independents and centrists that liberals are doing genocide while not also running on saying, “Republicans will genocide more, however,” was a really bad idea.

        I’m not sure you guys bear the moral responsibility for Kamala losing, but I do think there is an argument to make for bearing moral responsibility to helping ensure more death happened.

        • spujb@lemmy.cafe
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          2 days ago

          while not also running on saying, “Republicans will genocide more, however,”

          They did.

          These constituents are voters who helped deliver Biden the presidency in 2020, and who now feel deeply hurt and betrayed by the President’s decisions to continue funding war crimes and the mass killing of Palestinians. Arab American, Muslim American, and young voters, as well as people of conscience in Michigan and nationwide, are critical to the strength of the base. We cannot afford to have this base permanently disillusioned or alienated in November. The Uncommitted Movement Emphasis mine.

          Pro-Palestine kids on campuses were incredibly fearful of a Trump reelection and ran their campaigns to influence the Democratic at least partially out of that fear.

          Pro-Palestine knew the Dems were far more likely to win if they promised to fund domestic concerns rather than what has been widely accepted to be a genocide. Feel free to criticize the ratio of anti-Dem:anti-Trump messaging all you like, but it’s afactual to say anti-Trump didn’t happen.

        • KidNamedLainah@lemmy.world
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          Fair enough. I’ll admit that my comment was just a snide remark to those in a community that will jump at the first opportunity to deflect blame onto anyone but refuse to entertain a second of introspection.

    • Tudsamfa@lemmy.world
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      3 days ago

      Collumn 1 is Percentage that voted for the Winner (Republican 2024/Democrat 2020), Column 2 the Loser, Column 3 is the percentage of the people polled.

      So row Latino men: 55% voted for Trump, 43% Voted for Harris, and 6% of the exit poll said they were Latino men.

    • TempermentalAnomaly@lemmy.world
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      The first two columns is what percentage each party receive for that particular demographic. The third column is the percentage that demographic made up of the total votes.

      So the each rows first two columns should add the 100%. The final column should add to 100%.

  • Revonult@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    White people voting for the right is the problem. Like how can we go on here and blame Latinos for shifting when such a high percentage of white people voted for him? Especially when you factor in the population size and not just % left or right.

    I am ashamed of my peers.

    • DreamlandLividity@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      Yeah, only around 2-3% of the white voters switching Dem would make up for the extra Latinos voting for Trump. On the other hand, blaming the voter instead of candidate is missing the point.

    • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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      Less white people voted for trump in 24 though. The Latino bit is concerning because Democrats believed they had a demographic inevitability, and that appears to not be the case.

      • hydrospanner@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        It shouldn’t be concerning, it should be enlightening.

        But it won’t be. Not for the party leadership.

        Over the past 40 years they’ve gone from being the champion of blue collar and union workers nationwide, and being able to take those votes for granted…to having the rust belt become the biggest swing region in the country (which their opponent swept this month). Did they take this as a wake up call and do more for the blue collar voters to win their loyalty back?

        Nah, they just blame them and talk down to them, and tell them they’re too stupid to know what’s best for them.

        In that same time frame, they were seen as abandoning the blue collar worker to court the minority vote, talking their efforts at helping factory workers and turning them toward helping minorities in race and gender. While they were actually doing this they did indeed appear to gain that loyalty at the ballot box. Of course once they had it, they felt no need to keep up the good work for these people and have slowly become a party who does nothing for anyone, and runs on a platform of essentially admitting they do nothing, but that their inaction is better than the other side, so they should still be owed votes.

        Once again, this isn’t working out for them, and once again, rather than take it as a rejection of what they’re doing, no…it’s the voters who are wrong.

        I despise the GOP as much as any reasonable person, and I firmly believe that many of their voters won’t like what they voted for once they start to get it…but there’s no denying that the GOP has a message, goals, and demonstrable progress toward them. And to counter that…the Democrats have…“I think things are good and I wouldn’t change anything. You should vote for me because I’m not MAGA aligned, and if you don’t, it’s your fault not mine.”

        Arrogance is off-putting, and it appears it’s going to take at least a half century for the Democrats to figure that out.

    • hendrik@palaver.p3x.de
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      4 days ago

      Agreed. Despite all the nuances (which are important, too)… Judging by this table, the biggest total blame is on white men, followed by white women and latino men, though there aren’t that many of them. But I feel i need to say this doesn’t have anything to do with ethnicity. You could also make a chart of city vs rural areas or several other factors and you’d probably also find interesting correlations and shifts in opinion.

      • WoahWoah@lemmy.world
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        Latines now make up 20% of the U.S. population, making them the largest minority group. Among the under-18 demographic, that number climbs to nearly 30%. If current population trends hold, Latines are poised to become the largest ethnic group in the country within about 25 years—that’s just three presidential terms away.

        While Latines are a minority ethnicity, they are the largest one and the second-fastest growing, trailing only Asians. Asians, despite having one of the lowest birth rates, experience the highest proportional rate of immigration. Notably, Trump gained 12% of the Asian vote in the most recent election, a trend across these growing demographics that, if sustained, could spell significant gains for Republicans in the future.

        However, let’s not overlook the broader electoral picture. Black, Asian, and Latine men and women combined make up about 29% of the voting public in presidential elections, while white women alone account for a staggering 37-38%. For context, Latino men represent just 5-6% of voters. White women are, by far, the largest voting demographic.

        Interestingly, Trump increased his share of all women by 7% compared to when he ran against Biden and has increased his support from women each time he’s ran. The devastating thing, I think, is that Trump won 13% more of the 18-29-year-olds, 5% more of 30-44-year-olds, and continues to capture “Boomer Lite,” aka Gen X, a majority of whom he has won each time he’s ran, but he increased his share by 9% this time.

        Edit: corrected an earlier data error.

        • BadmanDan@lemmy.worldOP
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          4 days ago

          Dude where are you getting your data? Trump won white women by 52% in 2016.

          If he had lost white women like you posted, he would’ve lost the election.

          • WoahWoah@lemmy.world
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            3 days ago

            Hmm. An article quoting Pew: “a majority of white women (53 percent) did vote for Trump in the 2024 presidential election, up from 44 percent in 2020 and 39 percent in 2016 per Pew.”

            but I think you’re right, those numbers sound like all women. I’ll edit the post.

    • Pennomi@lemmy.world
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      4 days ago

      With how thin our election margins are, I wonder if literally just misogynists can swing the election. Would 1 in 100 Americans refuse to vote for a woman for president? I think maybe yes.

      • FourPacketsOfPeanuts@lemmy.world
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        4 days ago

        It’s hard to separate out the factors. Would a man have also struggled with a campaign starting so late (and doing so poorly in a previous primary). Would a white women? How can we separate out the influence of race, sex and the less than ideal running circumstances.

        Given who she is, and running when she had to, she actually did pretty damn well.

        Tbh looking for blame beyond Biden seems pointless to me. She has every sign of having been able to win over more people had she been prepped as the nominee from the start…

  • enbyecho@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    I know! Let’s blame EVERYBODY. That way nobody is left out and we can just admit we ALL fucked up so next time we can constructively work together to NOT fuck up instead of slinging mud at each other for the next four years.

    • jatone@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      3 days ago

      not gonna happen. harris supporters still think genociding and massive wealth inequalities are okay. dems have lost my vote nationally until they start supporting labor and stop fucking warmongering.

        • jatone@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          2 days ago

          You really dont. I’ve been expecting this for almost an entire year now. Only way to fix the dems is to toss them in the trash at this point.

          • enbyecho@lemmy.world
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            2 days ago

            Only way to fix the dems is to toss them in the trash at this point.

            Right because when something’s broken you don’t fix it, you just throw it away.

            Good luck with the alternative.

            • jatone@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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              Yes, that’s what you do when the effort required to fix something is more than the effort to replace it. And only thing I need to do to replace the DNC is just let it continue doing its stupid shit and people will continue to abandon it opening the path to other options.

              • enbyecho@lemmy.world
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                2 days ago

                Will you shake your fists angrily and exclaim that “someone ought to do something” ?

                • jatone@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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                  No? I’ll simply continue voting for good people (when they run) and telling dweebs like yourself why their candidate is still fucking trash as usual. eventually it’ll sink it. In no way is refusing to support the democratic party due to current behavior a statement about no longer being politically active.

                  But based on current trends looks like the DNC is probably done nationally unless they actually have a come to jesus moment as a group which based on past behavior is terribly unlikely.

        • jatone@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          lol, I already took the red pill ages ago. I’m just done exploring the rabbit hole, either people wake up or they dont. I’ll pay just enough attention to know when i need to be there to push but otherwise meh. the DNC and its supporters are just not worth helping anymore.