Bullshit. The Russian army has lost massive amounts of valuable equipment, they’ve lost a significant part of the demographic that can be mobilized. The country has lost the war chest they’d built up over many years, and the Russian economy and infrastructure is set back many years already.
It’s much more likely that Russia will be split into multiple states, and Russia will become more irrelevant than they’ve been for a millennium.
The Russian economy will probably continue to struggle for decades after the war, as sanctions are only lifted slowly, and only if Russia promises to behave.From a purely military perspective, active combat creates expertise at all levels in a military organization. Those that survive improve. This remains true until the losses outcompete the ability of the military to train replacements.
NATO forces have little experience with the type of war that Ukraine is facing. How do you fight all the inexpensive drones being mass produced? These drones have proven to be able to damage or destroy just about everything on the battlefield.
It’s a whole different war that will lead to rapid developments in new ways to kill each other for several decades.
The most efficient way to get NATO troops trained in this new war is to send troops to Ukraine. I suspect this may be one of the reasons that North Korea is sending troops to Ukraine.
How do you fight all the inexpensive drones being mass produced?
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No I think the article is making a pretty reasonable assumption that if Russia does not collapse, they will rebuild their army to the level they have historically maintained it.
You’re basically saying “no way they don’t collapse” but that seems a pretty large speculative leap.
You’re basically saying “no way they don’t collapse”
No I’m not, I’m saying no way they wont go into a multiple year recession. And they MAY collapse as a single nation because of it.
There is no doubt their economy is seriously cracking already.Sure the economy is bad, but you seriously don’t think they’ll keep spending on the military?
When the war ends, I expect they’ll reduce military cost dramatically, because they have to.
Wishful thinking
The one thing WW1 taught even casual observers is that a modern industrial nation can sustain a war and war production until they start running out of bodies.
Contemporary material demands are a bit more hard to supply but the basic functionality of an army is still basically the same, you give enough guys rifles, boots, and helmets and things will tend to work out.
