• kryptonianCodeMonkey@lemmy.world
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      11 days ago

      At that level of co2 production, they were probably right about the timetable. What they couldn’t predict is that co2 production would rise so dramatically with automobiles and industry in the decades after that. They were at 7 billion tons a year then. We are over 36 billion tons a year now, over 5 times as much. That has clearly expedited the effects on the climate.

      • EddyBot@discuss.tchncs.de
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        11 days ago

        What they couldn’t predict is that co2 production would rise so dramatically

        interestingly enough in the early 1900 there were more electric cars than ICEs in north america

  • Agent641@lemmy.world
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    11 days ago

    It’s a good thing someone noticed this back then, and the world dumped the coal industry. Imagine how fucked we’d be now if this was completely ignored.

  • BarqsHasBite@lemmy.world
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    11 days ago

    Because they never account for exponential consumption growth. It was “a few centuries” at current consumption.

  • DragonTypeWyvern@midwest.social
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    11 days ago

    The thing that really gets me about these ignorant fuckers is it’s not just the indisputable math, it’s that we’ve observed the proof not just in our ecosystem, but on Venus. You can’t even pretend we don’t know how these systems work in at least a general sense.

  • WrenFeather@lemmy.world
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    11 days ago

    Aren’t there still people trying to suggest that we still don’t know if climate change is scientifically understood/proven? This is crazy that we knew about this so long ago!

      • coffee_whatever@lemmy.world
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        11 days ago

        No benefit? No, of course not. But for more money to the shareholders of the oil and coal companies which some politicians either are or get payed by. OF COURSE! They will do it gladly with a smile.

        Renewables aren’t funded anything close to what governments of any country spend on oil and coal companies, and that’s for the benefit of the very few people who own them.

        Didn’t we already figure out the whole climate change story way back long ago? And the only reason why we didn’t do anything about it were studies funded by the oil industry so that they absolutely have to show there was “no link” between our CO2 emissions and the global temperature? Because I’m pretty sure that’s the story.

    • PrimeMinisterKeyes@lemmy.world
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      11 days ago

      Solé’s fantastic and extremely recommendable book “Phase Transitions” covers this as well. Quoting Janssen et al.: “even when the group is faced with negative results, members may not suggest abandoning an earlier course of action, since this might break the existing unanimity.”
      “More generally, the underlying problem here is why complex societies might fail to adapt […]. Even if there is some social perception of risk, short-term thinking often prevails when facing long-term vulnerabilities. Such undesirable behavior is often favored by a combination of incomplete understanding of the problem, together with the misleading view that all changes are reversible.”

  • eleitl@lemm.ee
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    10 days ago

    To be fair, in 1912 it was not at all obvious at which scale humanity started to burn everything after 1950.

  • geissi@feddit.org
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    11 days ago

    And this is when the topic was published by a newspaper.
    If memory serves, the fist scientific publications were from the 1880s.

  • frezik@midwest.social
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    10 days ago

    That may end up being correct. The models predicting the most catastrophic effects are often showing that for 2100, which would be nearly 200 years from the publish date.

  • lenuup@reddthat.com
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    11 days ago

    just could not imagine the scale at which human civilization would escalate. Apart from that, spot on.

    • theneverfox@pawb.social
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      11 days ago

      That’s like 30 years after the concept was first understood. Even now the concept is downplayed so people don’t reject it outright

      And even today, almost no one truly understands the implications of exponential growth… I’d give them full marks

  • Actionschnils@feddit.org
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    11 days ago

    The German Federal Public Radio (Deutschland Funk) has a Radio Documentary Series, about particular historical Topics called “Der Rest ist Geschichte”. Mostly academic experts explain the topics from the academic view for “common” people. They made a interesting one about the History of the Knowledge about the climate crisis.

    Aus der Dlf App | Der Rest ist Geschichte | Klima und Krise – Seit wann wir von der Erderwärmung wissen https://share.deutschlandradio.de/dlf-audiothek-audio-teilen.html?mdm:audio_id=dira_DLF_15dd044f

    Afaik there is no English version :<