Last week, more than 400,000 people visited a link posted on Instagram by pop star Taylor Swift that directed them to their state’s voter registration site.
Although Swift noted that she would be voting for the Democratic candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris, people don’t have to declare a party affiliation when they register and neither vote.org nor Swift track registrations by party.
love how they felt the need to point out that Taylor Swift, the pop star, does not track voter registrations by party lol
They insulted Dolly Parton and then Tay Tay came out swinging……
This is going to be a blow out and then the republicans are going to claim it was stolen because they can’t handle losing.
The fact that anyone can insult Dolly Parton immediately shows you their true character.
“We ride at dawn” was the statement I’d heard about it and quite frankly, I’m in 😝
Usually a good sign.
Absolutely. But the polling, news, etc is meaningless.
Everybody needs to go out and vote, and make sure they’re registered.
It’s not a poll. In fact, new voters (like these) don’t show up in oolls.
You know what I meant, relax
I know what you’re saying. Everyone needs to get out and vote, no matter how many positive news articles come out and no matter how “easy” it seems. We need to win by a landslide.
Thank you, I’m glad somebody understands.
Sure, I read your mind.
I was very clearly referencing the post. You didn’t need to read my mind.
This election is literally going to be 1980 in reverse.
Young women are going to send MAGA into the Shadow Realm.
In case you haven’t registered yet, here you go. Make your voice be heard.
I really, really, really hope so.
But I remember 2016. When all the nice neighbors, friends, co-workers, teachers, hell the delivery guy - all deliberately chose chaotic evil. Despite everything.
Remember, this is two electoral contests we have to win. The first one, obvs, and then when the MAGA Qanuts start screaming and cheating like motherfuckers. THAT is the one we need all hands on deck for because there’s no framework, no precedent for it. And in a lot of states the officials are primed and ready to destroy Democracy for their demented, flatulent, rapist god-emperor.
So there’s a chance that Democrats could win a supermajority in the Senate and Congress?
If people say fuck it and vote instead of just shrugging it off?
Yes, a huge chance.
Well, yes, because it seems like every time we register, a few months later the Republicans wipe out our registration again.
This all suggests that the polling has A LOT of volatility… We really won’t know where the fuck national or state level margins will be like from here on out.
At this point we just need to get people to register before the looming deadlines and then start turning out the vote.
Polling got way harder after everyone ditched land lines. Nate Silver went from near perfect handicapping in 2008/2012 to abysmal predictions from 2016 onward.
I genuinely wonder how polling is going to recover. Pollsters are having to rely more and more on the few remaining landlines, online polls of questionable quality, and the rare millennial who is willing to answer calls and texts from unknown numbers. To make up for it, they have to pile on more and more assumptions from things like demographics data.
I don’t see any of these factors changing any time soon, and unless pollsters figure out ways to work around them without compromising the quality of their work, they’re kind of fucked.
Yep and now you’re also getting into the arena of, “okay well you’re GETTING people in those age groups and so forth… So what kind of subset of that demographic is actually responding to pollster’s calls and texts…?” Is that really a random sample anymore?
E.g., NYT Siena does get youth to respond, but I’m curious how many more calls they have to make to get one versus, say, someone in their 60s.
The West Wing Weekly touched on this in one of their episodes. Basically they are turning more to focus groups where participants are paid a small amount.
At this point, polling should assume a conservative bias.
They’re going to have to start figuring out sentiment without polling, which is a lot harder.
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Conservatives: “…and so I propose this bill to raise the minimum voting age to 38…”
Vote, get active, get involved
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MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
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Second Para…
On Tuesday’s National Voter Registration Day more than 150,000 people registered through Vote.org, the most the organization has ever seen on that day. The organization registered 279,400 voters in all of last year.
