• acosmichippo@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    per 538, the last two polls of “adults” (not likely voters or registered voters) showed trump support around 40%. And Harris’ lead in those polls is basically the same as with likely voters and registered voters, around +3-4.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/?ex_cid=abcpromo

    edit:

    Also this gallup poll says 30% of people identify as Republican, and 40% as independent, with 46% of independents leaning Republican. So “almost half” as the top comment said.

    https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/Party-Affiliation.aspx

    edit 2: for whoever downvoted, I would love to hear why. the person above asked for a source that says “Almost half the country is right wing”, and I provided multiple. if you have better evidence to the contrary let’s see it.

    • Hegar@fedia.io
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      2 months ago

      per 538, the last two polls of “adults” (not likely voters or registered voters) showed trump support around 40%

      This feels to me like the best metric to judge ‘right wing’ by.

      Voting for right wingers or being a Republican is not quite the same as being right wing - many people register and vote strategically. My grandparents in Alaska were left wingers who knew Democrats didn’t stand a chance. I’m sure there are plenty of right wingers registered as Dems here in the PNW. Voting can also be about identity more than ideals - I’ve known Republicans who have mostly leftish ideals as long as you don’t call them that.

      But saying you personally support trump feels more unambiguously right wing to me. I’ve heard plenty of polls over the years putting trump’s support at around 30-40%, so 40% right wing sounds believable to me.

      • acosmichippo@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Also, I acknowledge this is speculation, but I would guess that a significant portion of the undecided people in those polls are conservatives who can’t stomach Trump and will never vote democrat. So it’s almost certainly more than 40% imo.

    • leadore@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      edit 2: for whoever downvoted, I would love to hear why.

      Probably because you told/showed them what they don’t want to hear.