• FundMECFSResearchOP
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    61
    ·
    3 months ago

    And yet Harris is only 2% in the lead.

    America is a fucked up country. I pray for y’all.

      • FundMECFSResearchOP
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        16
        ·
        3 months ago

        According to an interesting book I read a couple years ago called american nations, more like 9

          • FundMECFSResearchOP
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            9
            ·
            edit-2
            3 months ago

            I used to be in favour of a federal europe until I saw America go to shit with Trump elected in 2016.

            Now I’m more ambivalent. The confederation model sounds better…

            (Confederation is an alliance where members retain sovriginity) Not talking about the US confederacy

            • njm1314@lemmy.world
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              4
              ·
              3 months ago

              Half the reason Trump succeeds as much as he does is due to designed corruption at the state level. Republicans grabbing local elections and using them to upend the system. From psychotic school boards to regressive judges to grandstanding attorneys general.

              • Archer@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                4
                ·
                3 months ago

                Flip that reasoning entirely, my dude. If the feds ran elections fully then Trump wouldn’t have needed to make the call to the GA Sec of State to “find” more votes. He would have just fired people until he got a yes from whatever federal employee could do it

                • njm1314@lemmy.world
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  1
                  ·
                  3 months ago

                  No, because that’s the entire point of project 2025. He wants to replace all those federal employees with political appointments so that he can actually do things like that. Trump would have loved it if he could just fire people until they do what he tells them to do. Thankfully that’s not how most the federal government works. He wants to be able to control every Federal agency but thankfully that’s not the way it’s set up. It will be if he’s elected though.

    • nifty@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      15
      ·
      3 months ago

      Trump has never won the popular vote, his 2016 victory was based on highly gerrymandered areas with low populations and a high number of electoral votes. America is being held hostage by wealthy donors.

      • FundMECFSResearchOP
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        3
        ·
        3 months ago

        Yet he was leading in popular vote pols for a solid 9 months before Biden dropped out. If Biden had stayed, he would likely have won the popular vote.

          • FundMECFSResearchOP
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            4
            ·
            3 months ago

            A poll is just an estimate. Obviously we will never know. But were the election held a couple months ago (vs Biden) Trump would have about an 85% chance of winning according to the best statistical models. (Source: used to work as data scientist for a major pollster and obsess over this stuff for fun)

              • FundMECFSResearchOP
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                6
                ·
                edit-2
                3 months ago

                60% about

                Problem is media reports on 60% as if it is a sure thing, when 40% is a really big chance…

                • seth@lemmy.world
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  5
                  ·
                  3 months ago

                  Yeah that’s much worse than I thought. I also remember thinking, “there’s no way that many people are so willfully ignorant and will also vote.” How wrong I was.

    • don@lemm.ee
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      6
      ·
      3 months ago

      I pray for y’all.

      The US already has millions of Christians.