Arguably the first time Trump got elected the polls saying he couldn’t win played a large part in that. People felt safe not voting in protest of Hillary because “there’s no way Trump can win anyway.”
The polls were generally within the margins of error…. Dems need at least 5% more than repubs to win electoral college. The polls were not that far off, they were within the margins of error
Hillary got a little too cocky and assumed it was her birthright or whatever weird shit that was
I cannot speak for the whole of Lemmy, but anything but exit polls tend to have multiple issues. The way that they’re used in popular media tends to fuel horse race politics.
I’ve asked this before, what does Lemmy have against polling? You guys know that people aren’t using polls as a substitute for voting, right?
Arguably the first time Trump got elected the polls saying he couldn’t win played a large part in that. People felt safe not voting in protest of Hillary because “there’s no way Trump can win anyway.”
The polls were generally within the margins of error…. Dems need at least 5% more than repubs to win electoral college. The polls were not that far off, they were within the margins of error
Hillary got a little too cocky and assumed it was her birthright or whatever weird shit that was
I cannot speak for the whole of Lemmy, but anything but exit polls tend to have multiple issues. The way that they’re used in popular media tends to fuel horse race politics.
Here’s the Pew Research Center, likely the largest polling organization in the US outside of the US Census. https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2023/04/19/how-public-polling-has-changed-in-the-21st-century/
Here’s how they can fuel partisanship when that bias is not taken into account by the media https://phys.org/news/2020-10-political-scientist-negative-partisanship-voters.html
Here’s what I mean when I say horse race politics. https://journalistsresource.org/politics-and-government/horse-race-reporting-election/
Polls are bullshit and cause stupid. Also they are getting increasingly biased as time goes on, seriously some still only use land lines.
Ptsd. We have been burned before.