He got 2000 “wrong”… Or did he?

  • FlowVoid@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    The only individual characteristic that matters is incumbency.

    Most other factors mostly do not depend on the individual who is running. For example, recession, military victories/losses, results of midterm elections, significant third party challenger, etc. The party can run anyone and it would not affect those points.

    However, I overlooked another individual characteristic: there is an extra point if the incumbent is a victorious military leader or has significant appeal to members of the opposing party. The only person to get that point in this century was Obama, and only in 2008.