Looks like Yucatán will bet hit, according to the NOAA. It’s just a question of “where”. And they predict it to be a Tropical Storm when it crossed Yucatán and enters the gulf. I don’t know how warm that bathtub is at the moment, but that can get interesting, especially as a tropical storm is more likely to turn than a hurricane (IIRC). Let’s see what happens.
All things considered, that’s a pretty lucky path if it doesn’t drift north into the larger Caribbean islands
Except for the people in Yucatán. …
…who would still be hit if it shifted slightly north?
Looks like Yucatán will bet hit, according to the NOAA. It’s just a question of “where”. And they predict it to be a Tropical Storm when it crossed Yucatán and enters the gulf. I don’t know how warm that bathtub is at the moment, but that can get interesting, especially as a tropical storm is more likely to turn than a hurricane (IIRC). Let’s see what happens.
Yes, I’m aware they’re going to be hit currently. They would still be hit even if it shifted north to hit, for example, Cuba.