10% everywhere would be a decisive victory for Biden. Polls would only need to be off by about 1.2% to flip Texas in that case, which isn’t entirely implausible.
I’ve been doing my estimates based off of the 2020 election results because word is the polling has recently become less reliable. Given the polls are likely skewing towards the GOP, such a slim lead is exceptionally good news.
“Less likely” doesn’t mean these self-identifying Republicans will stay home, much less vote for the first “D” in their lives. I think this is a net gain for Democracy and Biden, but make no mistake: This will still be a very close, very important election.
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10% may not be enough to flip Texas, but I’d be shocked if 10% doesn’t give the election to Joe.
10% everywhere would be a decisive victory for Biden. Polls would only need to be off by about 1.2% to flip Texas in that case, which isn’t entirely implausible.
I’ve been doing my estimates based off of the 2020 election results because word is the polling has recently become less reliable. Given the polls are likely skewing towards the GOP, such a slim lead is exceptionally good news.
“Less likely” doesn’t mean these self-identifying Republicans will stay home, much less vote for the first “D” in their lives. I think this is a net gain for Democracy and Biden, but make no mistake: This will still be a very close, very important election.
Please Vote, Volunteer, and Donate. Your country depends on it…