• ChocoboRocket@lemmy.world
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      9 months ago

      The best way to tell if it’s a false flag operation is to see how much this event will be spread in the Russian media.

      They’ve lost tons of equipment and had bombings deep in Russian territory, mostly affecting their oil production which could be perceived locally as Russian military inferiority.

      So when this starts being on blast for every channel and frequency - you can be sure it’s a false flag.

      If they bury this like any other Russian military failing, then it’s probably real.

      Edit: ISIS claims responsibility, but Russia is still trying to blame Ukraine, which is kind of a false flag?

      • kent_eh@lemmy.ca
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        9 months ago

        So when this starts being on blast for every channel and frequency - you can be sure it’s a false flag.

        Maybe, maybe not.

        Regardless of who is actually responsible, and regardless of who claims responsibility, it could be used as propaganda against pretty much anyone the Kremlin is grumpy about.

        Navalney supporters or Ukraine are some pretty obvious potential scapegoats.

    • Karyoplasma@discuss.tchncs.de
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      9 months ago

      Smells like a false flag to me. Why shoot up a public concert hall if your enemy is Putin and not the general public. Makes no sense.

      • Hegar@kbin.social
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        9 months ago

        Why shoot up a public concert hall if your enemy is Putin and not the general public.

        Why do any extremists - or russia, the US or israel for that matter - target violence towards civilians?

        Maybe they believe the cause is worth it, the tactical calculus still comes out in their favour, or they just hate all russians? General destabilization? Forcing the state to devote more resources to protecting soft civilian infrastructure. Making people feel unsafe. Inspiring similar atrocities. The logic of tactically deploying murder isn’t always clear to an outsider, especially before we have a firm idea who did this.

        I strongly doubt this is an “honest-to-goodness sign of revolution”. Shooting concert-goers is obviously not that. But I don’t think it’s logically sound to rule out an anti-putin motivation just because civilians were killed.

      • mctoasterson@reddthat.com
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        9 months ago

        Because a couple dudes with small arms can’t be effective by attacking the Russian military or police forces head-on. Instead they choose to attack soft targets and maximize the social disruption and impact by terrorizing citizens.

        I would normally say it seems like a convenient false flag if they could pin it on Ukraine or something, but it sounds like several sources have confirmed ISIS is claiming responsibility.

    • chonglibloodsport@lemmy.world
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      9 months ago

      Why doesn’t it seem like a false-flag? Who could benefit from this, politically, more than Putin? Remember the Reichstag fire.

    • chayleaf@lemmy.ml
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      9 months ago

      ah yes, gay = bad, how progressive of you

      edit: would you call Putin Ukrainian as means of insulting him?

        • chayleaf@lemmy.ml
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          9 months ago

          at the time I commented it had like 14 upvotes and 0 downvotes, now it’s at 15 upvotes and 14 downvotes, my comment got 2 downvotes like 5 minutes after posting it, but now it also has 5 upvotes.

          Looks like it just took some time for the better part of lemmy to get to this post.