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- 104 Comments
4·3 days agoClimate
- 2024 hottest year on record (so far)
- COP30 a failure
- Large storms / floods destroy portion of a US city
- Oil and Gas continues to expand
AI / Tech
- AI roll out continues and more and more businesses shed staff for AI
- No sign of AGI
- No significant roll out of AI powered robots other than in isolated cases
Economy
- Bitcoin hits $200k at some point in 2025
- Global Inflation Down
- Global Interest rates Down
- Inequality continues to rise globally
War
- More conflict in middle east, potentially China joins fray somewhere
- Stalemate in Ukraine, no formal end to war
Medicine
- Neuralink/BCI makes progress but nothing groundbreaking
Energy
- Solar / Wind continues to expand, prices drop further
- Fusion 30 years away
function DetermineClaim(input) { return "denied"; }
The problem with panspermia is that it doesn’t solve the problem of how life started, it just moves the problem to a different planet/asteroid. We still don’t understand what the initial impetus was
One argument for gun ownership is that good people with guns can stop bad people with guns, or at least make them pause and think. This type of arms race argument is fairly prevalent in the US. I can imagine the same argument being made for AI: let’s just make more AGI’s, but friendly ones to fight off the bad ones!
This type of argument ends very badly in practice though, as witnessed by gun crime in the US!
“I want AI to do my laundry and dishes so that I can do art and writing, not for AI to do my art and writing so that I can do my laundry and dishes”
It still amazes me that Hurricane Helene hit Florida, Georgia and Carolina and those states still voted for a Climate Change Denier
Wow, I hadn’t seen that.
Here’s the study: https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.03735
There is a tsunami coming in the workplace, you can already buy a humanoid robot for $16k (1), which is less than the cost of an employee. When these robots can become actually useful (instead of marketing material) businesses who use labour will not think twice about swapping over. What do we do when unemployment goes up to 25%, 50% etc
I’ve seen more and more concern about the AMOC slowdown. Wouldn’t be good if that goes away. Talking a change of -10c in Europe
We should aim for 1.6 next, every fraction of a degree makes a difference
Although the report also says they expect us to hit 3.1 based on current trends
Looks like its been removed!
640k should be enough for anyone too
Warmer air can hold more water, so humidity increases. It also drives stronger winds…
The IPCC has always been thought of as being conservative in its estimates of climate change, so to hear Jim Skea, the Chair of the IPCC, say it’s too late is sobering
Instead we’ll build something that needs a subscription, and you can only get the filters from 1st party sources and the filters have a chip that requires you to swap them even if they are not full
Unless the set top box (apple or whoever) has an aerial/satellite /Cable input you still need to use the normal TV to watch standard channels, exposing you to the UI adverts.
I had considered buying an Apple TV, but my Samsung TV does everything I want just with stupid adverts, which I won’t be able to get away from if I have to swap sources to Apple TV and back to live TV
How do you stream TV or watch catch up?
For those that don’t want to click the X link: