Trump’s campaign is going to be “Let me finish what I started…Trust what you saw last time.” - so he can leverage both voters who want change and those who want the same old.
If there’s a new Dem candidate, all of a sudden they’re trying to convince people to expect stability from trying something new.
Compared to that, Trump looks a lot more reliable.
And that’s before you even get into the personal attacks (which Biden thinks he’s already covered).
We’ve also already passed the point at which the DNC would start backing a new candidate. We’re stuck with Biden unless he croaks before election night.
Incumbent bump, appeal to moderates/neo-libs, decades of experience in D.C. I suppose the mentality is that Trump will get the MAGA and R-no-matter-who voters, which form too great a bloc to gamble against.
He isn’t, but he beat Trump once already. He may not see anyone in the Democratic field that he trusts to win. It’s his decision to run or not; he’s going to follow what he thinks is the best course to deny Trump a second presidency. Not running means he has no control over the outcome.
He’s said he will, if Trump isn’t nominated. I don’t think he ever planned to hold two terms.
Why is he magically the foil to trump?
Biden’s whole pitch is “I’m boring and sensible”
Trump’s campaign is going to be “Let me finish what I started…Trust what you saw last time.” - so he can leverage both voters who want change and those who want the same old.
If there’s a new Dem candidate, all of a sudden they’re trying to convince people to expect stability from trying something new.
Compared to that, Trump looks a lot more reliable. And that’s before you even get into the personal attacks (which Biden thinks he’s already covered).
We’ve also already passed the point at which the DNC would start backing a new candidate. We’re stuck with Biden unless he croaks before election night.
Incumbent bump, appeal to moderates/neo-libs, decades of experience in D.C. I suppose the mentality is that Trump will get the MAGA and R-no-matter-who voters, which form too great a bloc to gamble against.
Anyone else would lose the pro-Israel vote by denouncing genocide?
He isn’t, but he beat Trump once already. He may not see anyone in the Democratic field that he trusts to win. It’s his decision to run or not; he’s going to follow what he thinks is the best course to deny Trump a second presidency. Not running means he has no control over the outcome.
In his place, would you roll those dice?