Rates of severe disease may be staying at relatively low levels, but experts agree that there are probably more infections than the current surveillance systems can capture.

“There is more transmission out there than what the surveillance data indicates,” said Janet Hamilton, executive director of the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists. “And we should be paying attention to it, because we are starting to see an increase.”

Weekly hospital admissions have nearly doubled over the past month, including a 19% bump in the most recent week, CDC data shows. And a sample of laboratories participating in a federal surveillance program show that test positivity rates have tripled in the past two months.

There are some hopeful signs: Biobot data shows that wastewater levels may be starting to flatten, and relatively low hospitalization rates suggest that there may be a lower risk of severe disease for many.

  • Aesculapius@kbin.social
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    1 year ago

    Physician here. The best marker we have of covid prevalence is wastewater testing. With the availability of home kits (and no reporting) and people refusing to test when symptomatic, the old markers of positivity rates and number of positive tests aren’t as valid. Even hospitalization numbers can fluctuate for multiple reasons. Municipal wastewater testing truly gives a sense of covid in a population.

        • gornar@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Definitive diagnosis is kind of like, a thing in medicine. We like knowing what stuff is, so should things take a turn for the worse, the correct treatment can be applied. We try not to guess in medicine, or go “welp, no idea, good luck, kid!”

        • hitmyspot@aussie.zone
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          1 year ago

          Let’s you know which disease you have so you can more accurately know how to protect others. If you’ve a cold, stay home…if you’ve the flu, stay in bed and isolated. If you have covidy stay isolated and get meals delivered to bedroom.with mask and use separate bathroom etc.

          A test doesn’t fix covid but if we don’t test, you have to assume every respiratory infection is covid and that’s not ideal for those with kids that get sick on average 14 times a year.

    • runner_g
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      1 year ago

      Wastewater-based emidemiology guy here. Thank you for your recognition of the field! I work at a competitor of Biobot, and what I find interesting is the article claiming Biobot data showing a plateau, as our data is showing a significant uptick over the month of August.

      On a different note, the majority of funding for WBE and wastewater surveillance comes from state/federal coffers, so please ask your colleagues to write to your representatives and ask for more funding towards WBE.

    • crowsby@kbin.social
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      1 year ago

      That’s what I’ve been thinking. I can’t even recall the last time I heard of anyone I know taking a PCR covid test.

      And that makes it challenging trying to manage behavior. I’ve definitely noticed a marked uptick in people I know that have gotten covid in the past couple weeks, but when I try to look at the data to validate my anecdotal experience, it’s difficult to find compared to two years ago. Oregon, for example, has wastewater monitoring, but the page used to convey the data doesn’t work on mobile and is confusing to use at best.

    • tider06@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      We can barely find test kits around us, and they are stupid expensive when we do find them. Like 10 bucks apiece.

      If it’s still running rampant, maybe the tests should still be affordable (or better yet, free).

    • TheRealKuni@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Just wear a mask, jeez.

      If only. I was so hopeful early in COVID that Western countries would embrace mask wearing when sick. But noooo, dipshits had to politicize it and make it a wedge issue.

    • June@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      Yep, starting back up with that now. We’re also coming into flu season soon which is def mask season.

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    1 year ago

    I want to know if there’s a random unrelated bug going around too, or if this new strain just has heavy impact on the back of the throat and that is it. Seems like everyone I work with has had had some weird impossible-to-clear-your-throat virus that doesn’t lead to much coughing or any sneezing so folks aren’t staying home. If that’s the new covid it makes a lot of sense why it would be spreading.

    • jcit878@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      had exactly this, one of my worst illnesses in my life, but neg on the test. similar thing ripped through work

      • beaubbe@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Same here. Took multiple rapid tests, all negative. Maybe the new strain does not work well with the test, or it is an unrelated illness. Canada here BTW.

        • runner_g
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          1 year ago

          The mutations in this strain (EG.5) shouldn’t be affecting the rapid-test target. Most kits use both the N -gene and S-gene to account for potential future mutations, and both genes have only small number of point-mutations across those two genes. If you want to waste an afternoon check out outbreak.info and look at the lineage comparison tool.

        • bufordt@sh.itjust.works
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          My experience with the tests has been very mixed. My wife has had COVID multiple times, and she has tested negative many times, both at home and at the doctor and then as she’s starting to recover, around day 4 or 5 she will test positive.

          I, in the other hand, have never tested positive although I did feel slightly under the weather for a couple days the last time she had it.

    • pixxelkick@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      right through when fauci himself was advocating against public mask wearing

      It was specifically advocating against people who were stockpiling/hoarding disposable masks, which were in limited supply and needed far more by first responders, doctors, nurses, etc. Hospitals at that time literally were running out of masks.

      The CDC recommendation at the time was to use reusable cloth masks, which werent/arent as good most of the time, but way way better than nothing at all.

      It was a temporary recommendation as the economy was pivoting to bump up supply to compensate. The US proceeded to enlist a bunch of fabric companies to start producing more masks as fast as possible to compensate, so there was about a 2~3 week period where the public needed to prioritize.

      It’s unfortunate a lot of people have taken to misquoting this time period as “Dr Fauci said using masks was bad” or such, which is deeply misrepresenting the state of things.

    • HubertManne@kbin.social
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      1 year ago

      I still mask not because of covid but because I have not been sick in any significant way since 2019. Maybe even late 2018. Before that I used to get sick about once a year. maybe go 18 months without being sick but maybe being sick again in 3 months. Now I have went practically 5 years (I don’t recall the last time I was sick I just remember the approx rate it showed up in the before times) and if I don’t have something specific I need my mouth hole for then its staying covered unless im at home or outside without being near anyone (like when I walk my dog)

        • HubertManne@kbin.social
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          Once a year. And yeah. I know. Crazy right. So. So. Onerous. To wear something on your face like you would your hands, or feet, or top of your head. For some silly reason like its a tad cold, or my religion says I should, or its in fashion. Yeah that is just the type of incredibly disciplined person I am. To take on such an arduous task.

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    I find this article weird, I can’t think of anyone I know who currently has COVID, and despite the fact most people are going around maskless things seem pretty quiet on the viral front. This makes it seem like just everyone has COVID. I realize numbers are going back up but I don’t think it’s quite like they make it out?

    I will still be masking until the dawn of time and am at six shots and counting. I absolutely do not understand why anyone stopped masking.

  • LaunchesKayaks@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Everyone at my work aside from two people have COVID. I was the first one to get it. I was told that I wasn’t the reason it spread through the office, but I still feel responsible. I got COVID from my mom and didn’t know I had it until I had already exposed coworkers. :(

  • ALilOff@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Completely off topic,

    But wild to me that I know exactly where that Walgreens is. Surprised there ain’t a drunk stumbling in that photo.