Will The Guardian issue a correction to its EA/Manifest/FTX article?
manifold.markets
Resolved YES. The Guardian piece here: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/article/2024/jun/16/sam-bankman-fried-ftx-eugenics-scientific-racism Reportedly contains many factual errors: See https://x.com/ohabryka/status/1802563541633024280?t=8IhUv03x6PKq_r5MwLbPuA&s=19 Resolves yes if one or more of these are corrected (either by stealth edit, deleting the article or editors note) by the end of July.

WE DEMAND A CORRECTION TO uh various minor nitpicks

also we swear we totally didn’t get your email

bonus from thread:

I am having a lot of fun on Manifold, but if the team insists on inviting eugenics speakers to conferences, its probably time for me to leave :-/

What exactly is your objection to people exercising their bodily autonomy to implement voluntary eugenics?

  • flaviaEnglish
    19·
    6 months ago

    I love how you can see people rushing in to buy the prediction right after the correction happened and before the author called it. This system is very secure totally.

    • sinedpick@awful.systemsEnglish
      5·
      6 months ago

      This is going to happen in any prediction market whose events are opened and closed manually. Unless you can automatically halt trading when the condition is met (this is probably what people call an “AI-complete” problem), there will always be people who notice the condition is met before the event runner. The unfair trades will certainly be reversed if this is a prediction market worth even a little bit of its salt.